ARRY — analysis and forecast
🧬 Faro multibagger DNA
Does it look today like the big multibaggers (×10, ×100) did when they started? 7 traits measured with public data.
Strongest: Room to grow and Cash it generates. Most lacking: Balance sheet and Faro seal.
Worth $751 M. To grow ×10 it would have to reach $7.5 B.
Sales -16% last quarter (year over year) and +40% last fiscal year · slowing.
Gross margin 25%, operating margin 4%, return on equity -31%.
Free cash flow $126 M a year = 16.7% of its value.
Trades at 0.7× sales: 0.06 per point of growth (lower is better).
Net debt equal to 82% of its value.
No recent federal contracts on the radar · outside the Faro megatrends · insiders own 0.8%.
⏱️ Timing (not scored): near its 12-month low · below its 200-day average · trailing the S&P 500 by 45 points over 12 months.
Built on the traits of 365 stocks that went ×100 (Mayer, 1962–2014) and 464 that went ×10 (Yartseva, 2009–2024), plus the Faro thesis. It does not predict the price and is not a recommendation. How it works and the ranking →
🔢 What the numbers say
The last 12 months, in plain words
- Over the last year ARRY is down 47.2%. Over about two years: -26.2%.
- Today it sits 59.3% below its 52-week high ($11.96) and +54.4% above the low ($3.15).
- The worst drop from a peak in those 12 months was 73.7%. Anyone who bought at the top had to sit through that.
- It rose on 45% of days. Best day: +22.1%. Worst day: -33.8%.
- Annual volatility around 80%: in a normal year a ±80% move would not be unusual for this stock (the S&P 500 usually runs 15–20%).
🗓️ Forecast by horizon
Directional bias · probability of rising · expected price and likely range (68%)
| Horizon | Bias | Prob. up | Expected price | 68% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 day | Strongly bullish | 59% | $4.86 -0.1% | $4.62 – $5.11 |
| 3 days | Strongly bullish | 58% | $4.86 -0.2% | $4.45 – $5.30 |
| 1 week | Bullish | 56% | $4.85 -0.3% | $4.33 – $5.43 |
| 15 days | Bullish | 54% | $4.84 -0.6% | $4.12 – $5.68 |
| 1 month | Bullish | 50% | $4.80 -1.3% | $3.81 – $6.06 |
| 3 months | Neutral | 43% | $4.68 -3.7% | $3.13 – $7.00 |
Recent momentum: +36.3% over 20 days · -1.1% over 60 days. The further out the horizon, the wider and more uncertain the forecast.
📈 Probability cone
📜 Government contracts
We have no notable federal contract on file for ARRY. You can look it up yourself at USASpending.gov or in the Government Sources hub.
📚 Go deeper: Faro Library reports
PDF reports built from official filings. Your first one is free, no email; then $1.99 each or all 34 for $25 — included in Navigator and Admiral.
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Study: What the big winners had in commonMicron 13x, Carpenter 12x, NVIDIA 9x… We analyze the stocks that rose most in five years within the Faro universe: which…6 pp. · Free preview →
Practical guide: How to read an earnings report in 15 minutesEvery three months companies publish their numbers. The market reacts in seconds. A 7-step method, with real 2026 exampl…6 pp. · Free preview →❓ Frequently asked questions about ARRY
Could ARRY be the next NVIDIA?
Its Faro multibagger DNA is 60/100 (promising): it measures how much it looks today like the big multibaggers did when they started (size, sales growth, quality, cash, price versus growth, balance sheet and public contracts). To grow ×10 it would need to be worth about 10 times today's value. Not a prediction or a recommendation.
How much has ARRY fallen in the last year?
Array Technologies (ARRY) is down 47.2% over the last 12 months and trades at $4.87, 59.3% below its 52-week high ($11.96). 52-week range: $3.15 – $11.96.
How volatile is ARRY stock?
Its annualized volatility is around 80% and its worst drop from a peak over the last year was 73.7%. For reference, the S&P 500 usually moves 15–20% a year.
Does ARRY have U.S. government contracts?
There is no notable federal contract in Faro's register. You can search USASpending.gov.
Is now a good time to buy ARRY?
Nobody can know that for sure and this page is not a buy recommendation. What the data shows today: bullish technical bias, RSI 67, price above its 50-day average and an estimated 50% probability of being higher in 1 month. Use it as a starting point for research, not as a signal.
🧠 How it is calculated
The verdict combines trend (20/50/200 moving averages), momentum (RSI, MACD), mean reversion (Bollinger Bands), conviction (volume) and historical drift, weighted differently for each horizon. Uncertainty is modeled with a lognormal probability cone (geometric Brownian motion). This is statistical analysis, not a crystal ball.
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