Directional bias · probability of rising · expected price and likely range (68%)
| Horizon | Bias | Prob. up | Expected price | 68% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 day | Bearish | 44% | $366.03 +0.0% | $360.42 – $371.72 |
| 3 days | Bearish | 45% | $366.34 +0.1% | $356.67 – $376.27 |
| 1 week | Bearish | 45% | $366.65 +0.2% | $354.20 – $379.53 |
| 15 days | Bearish | 46% | $367.43 +0.4% | $349.91 – $385.82 |
| 1 month | Bearish | 48% | $369.15 +0.9% | $343.93 – $396.23 |
| 3 months | Neutral | 52% | $375.80 +2.7% | $332.44 – $424.81 |
Recent momentum: -5.2% over 20 days · +6.8% over 60 days. The further out the horizon, the wider and more uncertain the forecast.
The public money behind this company — the "Follow the Contract" pattern.
Modification to build two Virginia-class attack submarines.
💡 Massive naval backlog; submarine construction is multi-year demand that is hard to cancel.
Construction of Columbia-class ballistic missile submarine hulls (SSBN 828-832).
💡 Reinforces undersea nuclear deterrence; revenue locked in for years.
The verdict combines trend (20/50/200 moving averages), momentum (RSI, MACD), mean reversion (Bollinger Bands), conviction (volume) and historical drift, weighted differently for each horizon. Uncertainty is modeled with a lognormal probability cone (geometric Brownian motion). This is statistical analysis, not a crystal ball.
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