Directional bias · probability of rising · expected price and likely range (68%)
| Horizon | Bias | Prob. up | Expected price | 68% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 day | Bullish | 56% | $182.97 +0.2% | $175.19 – $191.08 |
| 3 days | Bullish | 56% | $183.84 +0.7% | $170.52 – $198.19 |
| 1 week | Bullish | 56% | $184.72 +1.2% | $167.63 – $203.54 |
| 15 days | Bullish | 57% | $186.93 +2.4% | $162.95 – $214.43 |
| 1 month | Bullish | 58% | $191.89 +5.1% | $157.28 – $234.12 |
| 3 months | Bullish | 62% | $212.07 +16.2% | $150.27 – $299.29 |
Recent momentum: +7.0% over 20 days · +24.2% over 60 days. The further out the horizon, the wider and more uncertain the forecast.
The public money behind this company — the "Follow the Contract" pattern.
Ten-year Enterprise Agreement consolidating 75 separate contracts into one.
💡 Makes PLTR the Army's data backbone: long-horizon recurring revenue.
Expansion of the Maven Smart System (AI for combat targeting).
💡 Confirms Maven as the flagship military AI program; expands defense software spending.
The verdict combines trend (20/50/200 moving averages), momentum (RSI, MACD), mean reversion (Bollinger Bands), conviction (volume) and historical drift, weighted differently for each horizon. Uncertainty is modeled with a lognormal probability cone (geometric Brownian motion). This is statistical analysis, not a crystal ball.
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