Directional bias · probability of rising · expected price and likely range (68%)
| Horizon | Bias | Prob. up | Expected price | 68% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 day | Bearish | 42% | $880.93 +0.2% | $835.45 – $928.90 |
| 3 days | Bearish | 42% | $885.14 +0.7% | $807.49 – $970.26 |
| 1 week | Bearish | 43% | $889.36 +1.2% | $789.95 – $1,001.29 |
| 15 days | Bearish | 45% | $900.02 +2.4% | $761.11 – $1,064.28 |
| 1 month | Bearish | 49% | $923.90 +5.1% | $724.64 – $1,177.96 |
| 3 months | Neutral | 56% | $1,021.07 +16.2% | $670.37 – $1,555.22 |
Recent momentum: -13.5% over 20 days · -11.2% over 60 days. The further out the horizon, the wider and more uncertain the forecast.
The public money behind this company — the "Follow the Contract" pattern.
CHIPS Act grant for memory (DRAM) fabs in the United States.
💡 Domestic memory production, critical for AI and defense.
The verdict combines trend (20/50/200 moving averages), momentum (RSI, MACD), mean reversion (Bollinger Bands), conviction (volume) and historical drift, weighted differently for each horizon. Uncertainty is modeled with a lognormal probability cone (geometric Brownian motion). This is statistical analysis, not a crystal ball.
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