Directional bias · probability of rising · expected price and likely range (68%)
| Horizon | Bias | Prob. up | Expected price | 68% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 day | Strongly bearish | 40% | $63.96 +0.2% | $59.95 – $68.24 |
| 3 days | Strongly bearish | 40% | $64.27 +0.7% | $57.45 – $71.90 |
| 1 week | Strongly bearish | 39% | $64.57 +1.2% | $55.87 – $74.64 |
| 15 days | Strongly bearish | 39% | $65.35 +2.4% | $53.25 – $80.20 |
| 1 month | Strongly bearish | 39% | $67.08 +5.1% | $49.85 – $90.26 |
| 3 months | Bearish | 42% | $74.14 +16.2% | $44.34 – $123.96 |
Recent momentum: -15.7% over 20 days · -44.5% over 60 days. The further out the horizon, the wider and more uncertain the forecast.
The public money behind this company — the "Follow the Contract" pattern.
Prime contract to design and build 18 missile-tracking satellites (Tranche 3 / PWSA).
💡 RKLB's largest contract: it establishes the company as a national-security space prime.
The verdict combines trend (20/50/200 moving averages), momentum (RSI, MACD), mean reversion (Bollinger Bands), conviction (volume) and historical drift, weighted differently for each horizon. Uncertainty is modeled with a lognormal probability cone (geometric Brownian motion). This is statistical analysis, not a crystal ball.
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