Directional bias · probability of rising · expected price and likely range (68%)
| Horizon | Bias | Prob. up | Expected price | 68% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 day | Strongly bearish | 41% | $94.52 +0.2% | $90.18 – $99.08 |
| 3 days | Strongly bearish | 41% | $94.98 +0.7% | $87.54 – $103.05 |
| 1 week | Strongly bearish | 42% | $95.43 +1.2% | $85.89 – $106.02 |
| 15 days | Bearish | 44% | $96.57 +2.4% | $83.21 – $112.08 |
| 1 month | Bearish | 48% | $99.13 +5.1% | $79.89 – $123.01 |
| 3 months | Neutral | 56% | $109.56 +16.2% | $75.40 – $159.21 |
Recent momentum: -22.6% over 20 days · +2.1% over 60 days. The further out the horizon, the wider and more uncertain the forecast.
The public money behind this company — the "Follow the Contract" pattern.
CHIPS Act grant to manufacture advanced chips on U.S. soil.
💡 Direct public money to reshore chip manufacturing.
The verdict combines trend (20/50/200 moving averages), momentum (RSI, MACD), mean reversion (Bollinger Bands), conviction (volume) and historical drift, weighted differently for each horizon. Uncertainty is modeled with a lognormal probability cone (geometric Brownian motion). This is statistical analysis, not a crystal ball.
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