Directional bias · probability of rising · expected price and likely range (68%)
| Horizon | Bias | Prob. up | Expected price | 68% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 day | Strongly bearish | 38% | $121.65 -0.1% | $116.39 – $127.15 |
| 3 days | Strongly bearish | 37% | $121.37 -0.3% | $112.42 – $131.04 |
| 1 week | Strongly bearish | 35% | $121.10 -0.6% | $109.69 – $133.69 |
| 15 days | Strongly bearish | 34% | $120.41 -1.1% | $104.69 – $138.48 |
| 1 month | Strongly bearish | 31% | $118.90 -2.4% | $97.09 – $145.62 |
| 3 months | Strongly bearish | 26% | $113.33 -6.9% | $79.78 – $161.00 |
Recent momentum: -23.9% over 20 days · -23.3% over 60 days. The further out the horizon, the wider and more uncertain the forecast.
The public money behind this company — the "Follow the Contract" pattern.
Production contract under the Enduring High Energy Laser (EHEL) programme — reported 3 Sep 2026 as the first laser-weapon PRODUCTION contract in Army history.
💡 A first-of-its-kind production award opens a category, not just a programme: the Army is moving directed energy out of the laboratory and onto a production line. Date shown is the reporting date.
The verdict combines trend (20/50/200 moving averages), momentum (RSI, MACD), mean reversion (Bollinger Bands), conviction (volume) and historical drift, weighted differently for each horizon. Uncertainty is modeled with a lognormal probability cone (geometric Brownian motion). This is statistical analysis, not a crystal ball.
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