BE — analysis and forecast
🧬 Faro multibagger DNA
Does it look today like the big multibaggers (×10, ×100) did when they started? 7 traits measured with public data.
Strongest: Sales engine and Price vs. growth. Most lacking: Cash it generates and Room to grow.
Worth $59.8 B. To grow ×10 it would have to reach $598 B.
Sales +138% last quarter (year over year) and +37% last fiscal year · accelerating.
Gross margin 32%, operating margin 14%, return on equity 40%.
Free cash flow −$2 M a year = -0.0% of its value (burning cash).
Trades at 15.6× sales: 0.23 per point of growth (lower is better).
Net debt equal to 1% of its value.
No recent federal contracts on the radar · inside a Faro megatrend · insiders own 5.5%.
⏱️ Timing (not scored): mid-range over 12 months (46%) · below its 200-day average · beating the S&P 500 by 89 points over 12 months.
Built on the traits of 365 stocks that went ×100 (Mayer, 1962–2014) and 464 that went ×10 (Yartseva, 2009–2024), plus the Faro thesis. It does not predict the price and is not a recommendation. How it works and the ranking →
🔢 What the numbers say
The last 12 months, in plain words
- Over the last year BE is up 59.1%. Over about two years: +1393.4%.
- Today it sits 41.5% below its 52-week high ($345.85) and +162.7% above the low ($76.97).
- The worst drop from a peak in those 12 months was 52.7%. Anyone who bought at the top had to sit through that.
- It rose on 50% of days. Best day: +27.2%. Worst day: -18.5%.
- Annual volatility around 108%: in a normal year a ±108% move would not be unusual for this stock (the S&P 500 usually runs 15–20%).
🗓️ Forecast by horizon
Directional bias · probability of rising · expected price and likely range (68%)
| Horizon | Bias | Prob. up | Expected price | 68% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 day | Bearish | 46% | $202.68 +0.2% | $189.39 – $216.91 |
| 3 days | Bearish | 46% | $203.65 +0.7% | $181.07 – $229.05 |
| 1 week | Bearish | 46% | $204.62 +1.2% | $175.82 – $238.15 |
| 15 days | Neutral | 47% | $207.07 +2.4% | $167.08 – $256.64 |
| 1 month | Neutral | 48% | $212.57 +5.1% | $155.76 – $290.10 |
| 3 months | Neutral | 52% | $234.92 +16.2% | $137.09 – $402.57 |
Recent momentum: -14.4% over 20 days · -2.1% over 60 days. The further out the horizon, the wider and more uncertain the forecast.
📈 Probability cone
📜 Government contracts
We have no notable federal contract on file for BE. You can look it up yourself at USASpending.gov or in the Government Sources hub.
📚 Go deeper: Faro Library reports
PDF reports built from official filings. Your first one is free, no email; then $1.99 each or all 34 for $25 — included in Navigator and Admiral.
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Could BE be the next NVIDIA?
Its Faro multibagger DNA is 65/100 (promising): it measures how much it looks today like the big multibaggers did when they started (size, sales growth, quality, cash, price versus growth, balance sheet and public contracts). To grow ×10 it would need to be worth about 10 times today's value. Not a prediction or a recommendation.
How much has BE gone up in the last year?
Bloom Energy (BE) is up 59.1% over the last 12 months and trades at $202.20, 41.5% below its 52-week high ($345.85). 52-week range: $76.97 – $345.85.
How volatile is BE stock?
Its annualized volatility is around 108% and its worst drop from a peak over the last year was 52.7%. For reference, the S&P 500 usually moves 15–20% a year.
Does BE have U.S. government contracts?
There is no notable federal contract in Faro's register. You can search USASpending.gov.
Is now a good time to buy BE?
Nobody can know that for sure and this page is not a buy recommendation. What the data shows today: bearish technical bias, RSI 52, price below its 50-day average and an estimated 48% probability of being higher in 1 month. Use it as a starting point for research, not as a signal.
🧠 How it is calculated
The verdict combines trend (20/50/200 moving averages), momentum (RSI, MACD), mean reversion (Bollinger Bands), conviction (volume) and historical drift, weighted differently for each horizon. Uncertainty is modeled with a lognormal probability cone (geometric Brownian motion). This is statistical analysis, not a crystal ball.
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