BLLN — analysis and forecast
🧬 Faro multibagger DNA
Does it look today like the big multibaggers (×10, ×100) did when they started? 7 traits measured with public data.
Strongest: Business quality and Balance sheet. Most lacking: Cash it generates and Faro seal.
Worth $5.1 B. To grow ×10 it would have to reach $50.9 B.
Sales +64% last quarter (year over year) and — last fiscal year.
Gross margin 71%, operating margin 5%, return on equity 11%.
Free cash flow $12 M a year = 0.2% of its value.
Trades at 12.8× sales: 0.20 per point of growth (lower is better).
Net cash equal to 8% of its value.
No recent federal contracts on the radar · outside the Faro megatrends · insiders own 28.4%.
⏱️ Timing (not scored): mid-range over 12 months (52%) · above its 200-day average · trailing the S&P 500 by 12 points over 12 months.
Built on the traits of 365 stocks that went ×100 (Mayer, 1962–2014) and 464 that went ×10 (Yartseva, 2009–2024), plus the Faro thesis. It does not predict the price and is not a recommendation. How it works and the ranking →
🔢 What the numbers say
The last 12 months, in plain words
- Over the 241 sessions we have for BLLN it moved -1.1%.
- Today it sits 28.1% below its 52-week high ($149.97) and +68.3% above the low ($64.03).
- The worst drop from a peak in those 12 months was 50.8%. Anyone who bought at the top had to sit through that.
- It rose on 51% of days. Best day: +15.4%. Worst day: -38.9%.
- Annual volatility around 101%: in a normal year a ±101% move would not be unusual for this stock (the S&P 500 usually runs 15–20%).
🗓️ Forecast by horizon
Directional bias · probability of rising · expected price and likely range (68%)
| Horizon | Bias | Prob. up | Expected price | 68% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 day | Neutral | 48% | $107.77 -0.0% | $101.14 – $114.82 |
| 3 days | Neutral | 48% | $107.76 -0.0% | $96.54 – $120.27 |
| 1 week | Neutral | 48% | $107.75 -0.0% | $93.49 – $124.17 |
| 15 days | Neutral | 48% | $107.72 -0.0% | $88.14 – $131.66 |
| 1 month | Neutral | 49% | $107.67 -0.1% | $80.50 – $144.00 |
| 3 months | Bullish | 48% | $107.47 -0.3% | $64.95 – $177.82 |
Recent momentum: -12.4% over 20 days · -22.8% over 60 days. The further out the horizon, the wider and more uncertain the forecast.
📈 Probability cone
📜 Government contracts
We have no notable federal contract on file for BLLN. You can look it up yourself at USASpending.gov or in the Government Sources hub.
📚 Go deeper: Faro Library reports
PDF reports built from official filings. Your first one is free, no email; then $1.99 each or all 30 for $25 — included in Navigator and Admiral.
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Study: What the big winners had in commonMicron 13x, Carpenter 12x, NVIDIA 9x… We analyze the stocks that rose most in five years within the Faro universe: which…6 pp. · Free preview →
Practical guide: How to read an earnings report in 15 minutesEvery three months companies publish their numbers. The market reacts in seconds. A 7-step method, with real 2026 exampl…6 pp. · Free preview →❓ Frequently asked questions about BLLN
Could BLLN be the next NVIDIA?
Its Faro multibagger DNA is 80/100 (strong multibagger dna): it measures how much it looks today like the big multibaggers did when they started (size, sales growth, quality, cash, price versus growth, balance sheet and public contracts). To grow ×10 it would need to be worth about 10 times today's value. Not a prediction or a recommendation.
How much has BLLN fallen in the last year?
BillionToOne (BLLN) is down 1.1% over the period with data and trades at $107.77, 28.1% below its 52-week high ($149.97). 52-week range: $64.03 – $149.97.
How volatile is BLLN stock?
Its annualized volatility is around 101% and its worst drop from a peak over the last year was 50.8%. For reference, the S&P 500 usually moves 15–20% a year.
Does BLLN have U.S. government contracts?
There is no notable federal contract in Faro's register. You can search USASpending.gov.
Is now a good time to buy BLLN?
Nobody can know that for sure and this page is not a buy recommendation. What the data shows today: neutral technical bias, RSI 49, price above its 50-day average and an estimated 49% probability of being higher in 1 month. Use it as a starting point for research, not as a signal.
🧠 How it is calculated
The verdict combines trend (20/50/200 moving averages), momentum (RSI, MACD), mean reversion (Bollinger Bands), conviction (volume) and historical drift, weighted differently for each horizon. Uncertainty is modeled with a lognormal probability cone (geometric Brownian motion). This is statistical analysis, not a crystal ball.
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