Directional bias · probability of rising · expected price and likely range (68%)
| Horizon | Bias | Prob. up | Expected price | 68% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 day | Bearish | 43% | $160.40 +0.1% | $156.28 – $164.62 |
| 3 days | Bearish | 43% | $160.69 +0.3% | $153.61 – $168.09 |
| 1 week | Bearish | 43% | $160.98 +0.5% | $151.89 – $170.62 |
| 15 days | Bearish | 43% | $161.72 +0.9% | $148.96 – $175.57 |
| 1 month | Strongly bearish | 43% | $163.35 +1.9% | $145.00 – $184.01 |
| 3 months | Bearish | 46% | $169.72 +5.9% | $138.08 – $208.61 |
Recent momentum: -7.5% over 20 days · -17.0% over 60 days. The further out the horizon, the wider and more uncertain the forecast.
The public money behind this company — the "Follow the Contract" pattern.
Project Pele: transportable nuclear microreactor; BWXT delivered the TRISO (HALEU) fuel.
💡 Key builder of military reactors and fuel: a bet on the Pentagon's nuclear revival.
The verdict combines trend (20/50/200 moving averages), momentum (RSI, MACD), mean reversion (Bollinger Bands), conviction (volume) and historical drift, weighted differently for each horizon. Uncertainty is modeled with a lognormal probability cone (geometric Brownian motion). This is statistical analysis, not a crystal ball.
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