BYRN — analysis and forecast
🧬 Faro multibagger DNA
Does it look today like the big multibaggers (×10, ×100) did when they started? 7 traits measured with public data.
Strongest: Balance sheet and Room to grow. Most lacking: Sales engine and Price vs. growth.
Worth $92 M. To grow ×10 it would have to reach $915 M.
Sales -46% last quarter (year over year) and +38% last fiscal year · slowing.
Gross margin 55%, operating margin -11%, return on equity -15%.
Free cash flow $2 M a year = 2.1% of its value.
Trades at 1.0× sales with no growth to back it.
Net cash equal to 9% of its value.
No recent federal contracts on the radar · inside a Faro megatrend · insiders own 23.5%.
⏱️ Timing (not scored): near its 12-month low · below its 200-day average · trailing the S&P 500 by 89 points over 12 months.
Built on the traits of 365 stocks that went ×100 (Mayer, 1962–2014) and 464 that went ×10 (Yartseva, 2009–2024), plus the Faro thesis. It does not predict the price and is not a recommendation. How it works and the ranking →
🔢 What the numbers say
The last 12 months, in plain words
- Over the last year BYRN is down 78.2%. Over about two years: -78.7%.
- Today it sits 80.1% below its 52-week high ($19.67) and +23.0% above the low ($3.18).
- The worst drop from a peak in those 12 months was 83.8%. Anyone who bought at the top had to sit through that.
- It rose on 44% of days. Best day: +16.8%. Worst day: -33.7%.
- Annual volatility around 102%: in a normal year a ±102% move would not be unusual for this stock (the S&P 500 usually runs 15–20%).
🗓️ Forecast by horizon
Directional bias · probability of rising · expected price and likely range (68%)
| Horizon | Bias | Prob. up | Expected price | 68% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 day | Strongly bearish | 39% | $3.90 -0.2% | $3.66 – $4.16 |
| 3 days | Strongly bearish | 37% | $3.88 -0.7% | $3.47 – $4.34 |
| 1 week | Strongly bearish | 36% | $3.86 -1.2% | $3.35 – $4.46 |
| 15 days | Strongly bearish | 34% | $3.82 -2.4% | $3.12 – $4.67 |
| 1 month | Strongly bearish | 31% | $3.72 -4.9% | $2.77 – $4.99 |
| 3 months | Strongly bearish | 23% | $3.37 -13.9% | $2.02 – $5.59 |
Recent momentum: -18.2% over 20 days · +3.7% over 60 days. The further out the horizon, the wider and more uncertain the forecast.
📈 Probability cone
📜 Government contracts
We have no notable federal contract on file for BYRN. You can look it up yourself at USASpending.gov or in the Government Sources hub.
📚 Go deeper: Faro Library reports
PDF reports built from official filings. Your first one is free, no email; then $1.99 each or all 34 for $25 — included in Navigator and Admiral.
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Could BYRN be the next NVIDIA?
Its Faro multibagger DNA is 54/100 (mixed): it measures how much it looks today like the big multibaggers did when they started (size, sales growth, quality, cash, price versus growth, balance sheet and public contracts). To grow ×10 it would need to be worth about 10 times today's value. Not a prediction or a recommendation.
How much has BYRN fallen in the last year?
Byrna Technologies (BYRN) is down 78.2% over the last 12 months and trades at $3.91, 80.1% below its 52-week high ($19.67). 52-week range: $3.18 – $19.67.
How volatile is BYRN stock?
Its annualized volatility is around 102% and its worst drop from a peak over the last year was 83.8%. For reference, the S&P 500 usually moves 15–20% a year.
Does BYRN have U.S. government contracts?
There is no notable federal contract in Faro's register. You can search USASpending.gov.
Is now a good time to buy BYRN?
Nobody can know that for sure and this page is not a buy recommendation. What the data shows today: strongly bearish technical bias, RSI 28 (oversold zone), price below its 50-day average and an estimated 31% probability of being higher in 1 month. Use it as a starting point for research, not as a signal.
🧠 How it is calculated
The verdict combines trend (20/50/200 moving averages), momentum (RSI, MACD), mean reversion (Bollinger Bands), conviction (volume) and historical drift, weighted differently for each horizon. Uncertainty is modeled with a lognormal probability cone (geometric Brownian motion). This is statistical analysis, not a crystal ball.
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