Directional bias · probability of rising · expected price and likely range (68%)
| Horizon | Bias | Prob. up | Expected price | 68% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 day | Neutral | 52% | $614.55 +0.0% | $595.92 – $633.75 |
| 3 days | Neutral | 52% | $614.92 +0.1% | $583.00 – $648.58 |
| 1 week | Bullish | 53% | $615.29 +0.2% | $574.38 – $659.12 |
| 15 days | Bullish | 54% | $616.23 +0.3% | $559.09 – $679.20 |
| 1 month | Bullish | 54% | $618.29 +0.6% | $536.97 – $711.92 |
| 3 months | Bullish | 55% | $626.22 +1.9% | $490.52 – $799.45 |
Recent momentum: -3.6% over 20 days · +33.1% over 60 days. The further out the horizon, the wider and more uncertain the forecast.
The public money behind this company — the "Follow the Contract" pattern.
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The verdict combines trend (20/50/200 moving averages), momentum (RSI, MACD), mean reversion (Bollinger Bands), conviction (volume) and historical drift, weighted differently for each horizon. Uncertainty is modeled with a lognormal probability cone (geometric Brownian motion). This is statistical analysis, not a crystal ball.
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