CHPT — analysis and forecast
🧬 Faro multibagger DNA
Does it look today like the big multibaggers (×10, ×100) did when they started? 7 traits measured with public data.
Strongest: Room to grow and Price vs. growth. Most lacking: Balance sheet and Business quality.
Worth $328 M. To grow ×10 it would have to reach $3.3 B.
Sales +18% last quarter (year over year) and -1% last fiscal year · accelerating.
Gross margin 31%, operating margin -39%, return on equity -1015%.
Free cash flow $33 M a year = 10.0% of its value.
Trades at 0.8× sales: 0.09 per point of growth (lower is better).
Net debt equal to 47% of its value.
No recent federal contracts on the radar · outside the Faro megatrends · insiders own 3.4%.
⏱️ Timing (not scored): near its 12-month high · above its 200-day average · beating the S&P 500 by 24 points over 12 months.
Built on the traits of 365 stocks that went ×100 (Mayer, 1962–2014) and 464 that went ×10 (Yartseva, 2009–2024), plus the Faro thesis. It does not predict the price and is not a recommendation. How it works and the ranking →
🔢 What the numbers say
The last 12 months, in plain words
- Over the last year CHPT is up 24.3%. Over about two years: -46.0%.
- Today it sits 2.4% below its 52-week high ($12.51) and +170.7% above the low ($4.51).
- The worst drop from a peak in those 12 months was 56.8%. Anyone who bought at the top had to sit through that.
- It rose on 46% of days. Best day: +75.0%. Worst day: -17.8%.
- Annual volatility around 119%: in a normal year a ±119% move would not be unusual for this stock (the S&P 500 usually runs 15–20%).
🗓️ Forecast by horizon
Directional bias · probability of rising · expected price and likely range (68%)
| Horizon | Bias | Prob. up | Expected price | 68% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 day | Strongly bullish | 60% | $12.20 -0.1% | $11.32 – $13.14 |
| 3 days | Strongly bullish | 59% | $12.17 -0.4% | $10.69 – $13.85 |
| 1 week | Strongly bullish | 59% | $12.14 -0.6% | $10.27 – $14.34 |
| 15 days | Strongly bullish | 58% | $12.06 -1.2% | $9.52 – $15.28 |
| 1 month | Strongly bullish | 57% | $11.90 -2.5% | $8.45 – $16.76 |
| 3 months | Strongly bullish | 51% | $11.30 -7.5% | $6.24 – $20.45 |
Recent momentum: +68.9% over 20 days · +109.1% over 60 days. The further out the horizon, the wider and more uncertain the forecast.
📈 Probability cone
📜 Government contracts
We have no notable federal contract on file for CHPT. You can look it up yourself at USASpending.gov or in the Government Sources hub.
📚 Go deeper: Faro Library reports
PDF reports built from official filings. Your first one is free, no email; then $1.99 each or all 34 for $25 — included in Navigator and Admiral.
The market's memory: 100 years of crashes and recoveriesSince 1927 the S&P 500 has fallen more than 20% about a dozen times. It always recovered, but sometimes it took 25 y…6 pp. · Free preview →
Study: What the big winners had in commonMicron 13x, Carpenter 12x, NVIDIA 9x… We analyze the stocks that rose most in five years within the Faro universe: which…6 pp. · Free preview →
Practical guide: How to read an earnings report in 15 minutesEvery three months companies publish their numbers. The market reacts in seconds. A 7-step method, with real 2026 exampl…6 pp. · Free preview →❓ Frequently asked questions about CHPT
Could CHPT be the next NVIDIA?
Its Faro multibagger DNA is 59/100 (mixed): it measures how much it looks today like the big multibaggers did when they started (size, sales growth, quality, cash, price versus growth, balance sheet and public contracts). To grow ×10 it would need to be worth about 10 times today's value. Not a prediction or a recommendation.
How much has CHPT gone up in the last year?
ChargePoint (CHPT) is up 24.3% over the last 12 months and trades at $12.21, 2.4% below its 52-week high ($12.51). 52-week range: $4.51 – $12.51.
How volatile is CHPT stock?
Its annualized volatility is around 119% and its worst drop from a peak over the last year was 56.8%. For reference, the S&P 500 usually moves 15–20% a year.
Does CHPT have U.S. government contracts?
There is no notable federal contract in Faro's register. You can search USASpending.gov.
Is now a good time to buy CHPT?
Nobody can know that for sure and this page is not a buy recommendation. What the data shows today: strongly bullish technical bias, RSI 83 (overbought zone), price above its 50-day average and an estimated 57% probability of being higher in 1 month. Use it as a starting point for research, not as a signal.
🧠 How it is calculated
The verdict combines trend (20/50/200 moving averages), momentum (RSI, MACD), mean reversion (Bollinger Bands), conviction (volume) and historical drift, weighted differently for each horizon. Uncertainty is modeled with a lognormal probability cone (geometric Brownian motion). This is statistical analysis, not a crystal ball.
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