CRWV — analysis and forecast
🧬 Faro multibagger DNA
Does it look today like the big multibaggers (×10, ×100) did when they started? 7 traits measured with public data.
Strongest: Sales engine and Price vs. growth. Most lacking: Balance sheet and Cash it generates.
Worth $30.9 B. To grow ×10 it would have to reach $309 B.
Sales +168% last quarter (year over year) and — last fiscal year.
Gross margin 67%, operating margin -0%, return on equity -64%.
Free cash flow −$19.7 B a year = -63.8% of its value (burning cash).
Trades at 3.1× sales: 0.02 per point of growth (lower is better).
Net debt equal to 201% of its value.
No recent federal contracts on the radar · inside a Faro megatrend · insiders own 18.6%.
⏱️ Timing (not scored): near its 12-month low · below its 200-day average · trailing the S&P 500 by 36 points over 12 months.
Built on the traits of 365 stocks that went ×100 (Mayer, 1962–2014) and 464 that went ×10 (Yartseva, 2009–2024), plus the Faro thesis. It does not predict the price and is not a recommendation. How it works and the ranking →
🔢 What the numbers say
The last 12 months, in plain words
- Over the last year CRWV is down 36.7%.
- Today it sits 59.4% below its 52-week high ($137.98) and +28.2% above the low ($43.66).
- The worst drop from a peak in those 12 months was 68.4%. Anyone who bought at the top had to sit through that.
- It rose on 46% of days. Best day: +24.7%. Worst day: -18.5%.
- Annual volatility around 107%: in a normal year a ±107% move would not be unusual for this stock (the S&P 500 usually runs 15–20%).
🗓️ Forecast by horizon
Directional bias · probability of rising · expected price and likely range (68%)
| Horizon | Bias | Prob. up | Expected price | 68% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 day | Bearish | 45% | $56.01 +0.1% | $52.34 – $59.93 |
| 3 days | Bearish | 44% | $56.10 +0.2% | $49.89 – $63.08 |
| 1 week | Bearish | 44% | $56.19 +0.4% | $48.30 – $65.37 |
| 15 days | Bearish | 43% | $56.42 +0.8% | $45.55 – $69.89 |
| 1 month | Bearish | 41% | $56.93 +1.7% | $41.75 – $77.64 |
| 3 months | Bearish | 40% | $58.93 +5.3% | $34.44 – $100.85 |
Recent momentum: -19.7% over 20 days · -38.4% over 60 days. The further out the horizon, the wider and more uncertain the forecast.
📈 Probability cone
📜 Government contracts
We have no notable federal contract on file for CRWV. You can look it up yourself at USASpending.gov or in the Government Sources hub.
📚 Go deeper: Faro Library reports
PDF reports built from official filings. Your first one is free, no email; then $1.99 each or all 34 for $25 — included in Navigator and Admiral.
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Practical guide: How to read an earnings report in 15 minutesEvery three months companies publish their numbers. The market reacts in seconds. A 7-step method, with real 2026 exampl…6 pp. · Free preview →❓ Frequently asked questions about CRWV
Could CRWV be the next NVIDIA?
Its Faro multibagger DNA is 60/100 (promising): it measures how much it looks today like the big multibaggers did when they started (size, sales growth, quality, cash, price versus growth, balance sheet and public contracts). To grow ×10 it would need to be worth about 10 times today's value. Not a prediction or a recommendation.
How much has CRWV fallen in the last year?
CoreWeave (CRWV) is down 36.7% over the last 12 months and trades at $55.96, 59.4% below its 52-week high ($137.98). 52-week range: $43.66 – $137.98.
How volatile is CRWV stock?
Its annualized volatility is around 107% and its worst drop from a peak over the last year was 68.4%. For reference, the S&P 500 usually moves 15–20% a year.
Does CRWV have U.S. government contracts?
There is no notable federal contract in Faro's register. You can search USASpending.gov.
Is now a good time to buy CRWV?
Nobody can know that for sure and this page is not a buy recommendation. What the data shows today: bearish technical bias, RSI 51, price below its 50-day average and an estimated 41% probability of being higher in 1 month. Use it as a starting point for research, not as a signal.
🧠 How it is calculated
The verdict combines trend (20/50/200 moving averages), momentum (RSI, MACD), mean reversion (Bollinger Bands), conviction (volume) and historical drift, weighted differently for each horizon. Uncertainty is modeled with a lognormal probability cone (geometric Brownian motion). This is statistical analysis, not a crystal ball.
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