Directional bias · probability of rising · expected price and likely range (68%)
| Horizon | Bias | Prob. up | Expected price | 68% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 day | Bullish | 57% | $3.08 -0.0% | $2.92 – $3.24 |
| 3 days | Bullish | 56% | $3.08 -0.1% | $2.81 – $3.37 |
| 1 week | Bullish | 56% | $3.08 -0.1% | $2.74 – $3.46 |
| 15 days | Bullish | 56% | $3.07 -0.3% | $2.60 – $3.62 |
| 1 month | Bullish | 55% | $3.06 -0.5% | $2.41 – $3.89 |
| 3 months | Bullish | 53% | $3.03 -1.6% | $2.00 – $4.59 |
Recent momentum: +12.0% over 20 days · +16.4% over 60 days. The further out the horizon, the wider and more uncertain the forecast.
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The verdict combines trend (20/50/200 moving averages), momentum (RSI, MACD), mean reversion (Bollinger Bands), conviction (volume) and historical drift, weighted differently for each horizon. Uncertainty is modeled with a lognormal probability cone (geometric Brownian motion). This is statistical analysis, not a crystal ball.
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