Directional bias · probability of rising · expected price and likely range (68%)
| Horizon | Bias | Prob. up | Expected price | 68% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 day | Bearish | 48% | $314.14 +0.1% | $308.57 – $319.80 |
| 3 days | Bearish | 48% | $314.75 +0.3% | $305.15 – $324.65 |
| 1 week | Bearish | 49% | $315.37 +0.5% | $303.00 – $328.23 |
| 15 days | Neutral | 51% | $316.91 +1.0% | $299.49 – $335.35 |
| 1 month | Neutral | 54% | $320.33 +2.1% | $295.13 – $347.69 |
| 3 months | Neutral | 60% | $333.74 +6.3% | $289.58 – $384.63 |
Recent momentum: -0.1% over 20 days · -10.1% over 60 days. The further out the horizon, the wider and more uncertain the forecast.
The public money behind this company — the "Follow the Contract" pattern.
General Electric Co., Lynn, Massachusetts, is being awarded $113,031,099 for a not-to-exceed and ceiling-price, performance-based logistics contract to provide sustainment support for two critical T700 401C engine components in support of the Navy's MH-60R/S and the Marine Corps' AH-1Z/UH-1 helicopters.
💡 Worth <0.1% of the company's market value. Firm money at signing: $7 M. Stock since the announcement: +0.5%.
General Electric Co., Lynn, Massachusetts, has been awarded a maximum $47,762,022 firm-fixed-price, one-time-buy delivery order issued against a five-year basic ordering agreement for J-85 engine compressor rotors.
💡 Worth <0.1% of the company's market value. Stock since the announcement: +0.5%.
General Electric Co., Lynn, Massachusetts, has been awarded a maximum $39,926,265 firm-fixed-price, one-time buy delivery order issued against a basic ordering agreement for J85 air compressor cases.
💡 Worth <0.1% of the company's market value. Stock since the announcement: -1.3%.
The verdict combines trend (20/50/200 moving averages), momentum (RSI, MACD), mean reversion (Bollinger Bands), conviction (volume) and historical drift, weighted differently for each horizon. Uncertainty is modeled with a lognormal probability cone (geometric Brownian motion). This is statistical analysis, not a crystal ball.
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