Directional bias · probability of rising · expected price and likely range (68%)
| Horizon | Bias | Prob. up | Expected price | 68% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 day | Bullish | 55% | $31.78 +0.2% | $31.07 – $32.51 |
| 3 days | Bullish | 56% | $31.88 +0.5% | $30.65 – $33.15 |
| 1 week | Bullish | 58% | $31.97 +0.8% | $30.40 – $33.63 |
| 15 days | Bullish | 60% | $32.22 +1.5% | $30.00 – $34.61 |
| 1 month | Bullish | 64% | $32.77 +3.3% | $29.54 – $36.35 |
| 3 months | Strongly bullish | 71% | $34.95 +10.2% | $29.20 – $41.83 |
Recent momentum: +2.9% over 20 days · +7.7% over 60 days. The further out the horizon, the wider and more uncertain the forecast.
The public money behind this company — the "Follow the Contract" pattern.
Detention services in los angeles aor at consolidated adelanto and desert view annex centers
💡 Worth 1.31% of the company's market value. Firm money at signing: $54 M. Stock since the announcement: -1%.
The verdict combines trend (20/50/200 moving averages), momentum (RSI, MACD), mean reversion (Bollinger Bands), conviction (volume) and historical drift, weighted differently for each horizon. Uncertainty is modeled with a lognormal probability cone (geometric Brownian motion). This is statistical analysis, not a crystal ball.
Other stocks Faro watches