GSG — analysis and forecast
🧬 Faro multibagger DNA
Multibagger DNA is computed for companies, not ETFs or funds.
🔢 What the numbers say
The last 12 months, in plain words
- Over the last year GSG is up 64.6%. Over about two years: +76.7%.
- It is practically at its 52-week high ($37.70).
- The worst drop from a peak in those 12 months was 18.8%. Anyone who bought at the top had to sit through that.
- It rose on 55% of days. Best day: +5.3%. Worst day: -6.7%.
- Annual volatility around 23%: in a normal year a ±23% move would not be unusual for this stock (the S&P 500 usually runs 15–20%).
🗓️ Forecast by horizon
Directional bias · probability of rising · expected price and likely range (68%)
| Horizon | Bias | Prob. up | Expected price | 68% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 day | Bullish | 60% | $37.74 +0.1% | $37.21 – $38.29 |
| 3 days | Bullish | 61% | $37.83 +0.3% | $36.90 – $38.78 |
| 1 week | Strongly bullish | 63% | $37.92 +0.6% | $36.72 – $39.15 |
| 15 days | Strongly bullish | 66% | $38.13 +1.1% | $36.45 – $39.89 |
| 1 month | Strongly bullish | 69% | $38.61 +2.4% | $36.17 – $41.22 |
| 3 months | Strongly bullish | 76% | $40.50 +7.4% | $36.16 – $45.36 |
Recent momentum: +5.0% over 20 days · +18.0% over 60 days. The further out the horizon, the wider and more uncertain the forecast.
📈 Probability cone
📜 Government contracts
We have no notable federal contract on file for GSG. You can look it up yourself at USASpending.gov or in the Government Sources hub.
📚 Go deeper: Faro Library reports
PDF reports built from official filings. Your first one is free, no email; then $1.99 each or all 30 for $25 — included in Navigator and Admiral.
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How much has GSG gone up in the last year?
iShares S&P GSCI Commodity-Indexed Trust (GSG) is up 64.6% over the last 12 months and trades at $37.70, practically at its 52-week high. 52-week range: $22.48 – $37.70.
How volatile is GSG stock?
Its annualized volatility is around 23% and its worst drop from a peak over the last year was 18.8%. For reference, the S&P 500 usually moves 15–20% a year.
Does GSG have U.S. government contracts?
There is no notable federal contract in Faro's register. You can search USASpending.gov.
Is now a good time to buy GSG?
Nobody can know that for sure and this page is not a buy recommendation. What the data shows today: strongly bullish technical bias, RSI 81 (overbought zone), price above its 50-day average and an estimated 69% probability of being higher in 1 month. Use it as a starting point for research, not as a signal.
🧠 How it is calculated
The verdict combines trend (20/50/200 moving averages), momentum (RSI, MACD), mean reversion (Bollinger Bands), conviction (volume) and historical drift, weighted differently for each horizon. Uncertainty is modeled with a lognormal probability cone (geometric Brownian motion). This is statistical analysis, not a crystal ball.
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