IOT — analysis and forecast
🧬 Faro multibagger DNA
Does it look today like the big multibaggers (×10, ×100) did when they started? 7 traits measured with public data.
Strongest: Business quality and Balance sheet. Most lacking: Cash it generates and Faro seal.
Worth $24.3 B. To grow ×10 it would have to reach $243 B.
Sales +30% last quarter (year over year) and +30% last fiscal year.
Gross margin 76%, operating margin 1%, return on equity 6%.
Free cash flow $260 M a year = 1.1% of its value.
Trades at 13.1× sales: 0.44 per point of growth (lower is better).
Net cash equal to 3% of its value.
No recent federal contracts on the radar · inside a Faro megatrend · insiders own 3.8%.
⏱️ Timing (not scored): mid-range over 12 months (75%) · above its 200-day average · trailing the S&P 500 by 4 points over 12 months.
Built on the traits of 365 stocks that went ×100 (Mayer, 1962–2014) and 464 that went ×10 (Yartseva, 2009–2024), plus the Faro thesis. It does not predict the price and is not a recommendation. How it works and the ranking →
🔢 What the numbers say
The last 12 months, in plain words
- Over the last year IOT is up 4.1%. Over about two years: -20.8%.
- Today it sits 8.3% below its 52-week high ($45.22) and +70.9% above the low ($24.25).
- The worst drop from a peak in those 12 months was 46.4%. Anyone who bought at the top had to sit through that.
- It rose on 46% of days. Best day: +19.5%. Worst day: -8.6%.
- Annual volatility around 54%: in a normal year a ±54% move would not be unusual for this stock (the S&P 500 usually runs 15–20%).
🗓️ Forecast by horizon
Directional bias · probability of rising · expected price and likely range (68%)
| Horizon | Bias | Prob. up | Expected price | 68% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 day | Neutral | 50% | $41.43 -0.0% | $40.04 – $42.86 |
| 3 days | Neutral | 49% | $41.39 -0.1% | $39.02 – $43.90 |
| 1 week | Neutral | 49% | $41.35 -0.2% | $38.32 – $44.62 |
| 15 days | Neutral | 49% | $41.25 -0.5% | $37.04 – $45.94 |
| 1 month | Neutral | 49% | $41.04 -1.0% | $35.11 – $47.97 |
| 3 months | Bullish | 48% | $40.25 -2.9% | $30.71 – $52.74 |
Recent momentum: -2.7% over 20 days · +5.7% over 60 days. The further out the horizon, the wider and more uncertain the forecast.
📈 Probability cone
📜 Government contracts
We have no notable federal contract on file for IOT. You can look it up yourself at USASpending.gov or in the Government Sources hub.
📚 Go deeper: Faro Library reports
PDF reports built from official filings. Your first one is free, no email; then $1.99 each or all 34 for $25 — included in Navigator and Admiral.
The market's memory: 100 years of crashes and recoveriesSince 1927 the S&P 500 has fallen more than 20% about a dozen times. It always recovered, but sometimes it took 25 y…6 pp. · Free preview →
Study: What the big winners had in commonMicron 13x, Carpenter 12x, NVIDIA 9x… We analyze the stocks that rose most in five years within the Faro universe: which…6 pp. · Free preview →
Practical guide: How to read an earnings report in 15 minutesEvery three months companies publish their numbers. The market reacts in seconds. A 7-step method, with real 2026 exampl…6 pp. · Free preview →❓ Frequently asked questions about IOT
Could IOT be the next NVIDIA?
Its Faro multibagger DNA is 69/100 (promising): it measures how much it looks today like the big multibaggers did when they started (size, sales growth, quality, cash, price versus growth, balance sheet and public contracts). To grow ×10 it would need to be worth about 10 times today's value. Not a prediction or a recommendation.
How much has IOT gone up in the last year?
Samsara (IOT) is up 4.1% over the last 12 months and trades at $41.45, 8.3% below its 52-week high ($45.22). 52-week range: $24.25 – $45.22.
How volatile is IOT stock?
Its annualized volatility is around 54% and its worst drop from a peak over the last year was 46.4%. For reference, the S&P 500 usually moves 15–20% a year.
Does IOT have U.S. government contracts?
There is no notable federal contract in Faro's register. You can search USASpending.gov.
Is now a good time to buy IOT?
Nobody can know that for sure and this page is not a buy recommendation. What the data shows today: neutral technical bias, RSI 35, price above its 50-day average and an estimated 49% probability of being higher in 1 month. Use it as a starting point for research, not as a signal.
🧠 How it is calculated
The verdict combines trend (20/50/200 moving averages), momentum (RSI, MACD), mean reversion (Bollinger Bands), conviction (volume) and historical drift, weighted differently for each horizon. Uncertainty is modeled with a lognormal probability cone (geometric Brownian motion). This is statistical analysis, not a crystal ball.
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