Directional bias · probability of rising · expected price and likely range (68%)
| Horizon | Bias | Prob. up | Expected price | 68% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 day | Neutral | 49% | $139.43 +0.0% | $137.11 – $141.79 |
| 3 days | Neutral | 49% | $139.44 +0.0% | $135.44 – $143.55 |
| 1 week | Neutral | 49% | $139.44 +0.0% | $134.31 – $144.78 |
| 15 days | Neutral | 50% | $139.46 +0.0% | $132.25 – $147.06 |
| 1 month | Neutral | 51% | $139.49 +0.0% | $129.16 – $150.65 |
| 3 months | Neutral | 51% | $139.62 +0.1% | $122.20 – $159.52 |
Recent momentum: -3.2% over 20 days · +5.8% over 60 days. The further out the horizon, the wider and more uncertain the forecast.
The public money behind this company — the "Follow the Contract" pattern.
Construction management as advisor (cma)services for 11 design-build construction projects impacting border patrol stations in arizona, california, new mexico, and texas.
💡 Worth 0.65% of the company's market value. Firm money at signing: $106 M. Stock since the announcement: -4.5%.
Construction management as advisor(cma)services for 10 design-build construction projects impacting facilities in arizona, california, florida, new york, texas, united states virgin islands, and washington.
💡 Worth 0.28% of the company's market value. Firm money at signing: $45 M. Stock since the announcement: -4.5%.
The verdict combines trend (20/50/200 moving averages), momentum (RSI, MACD), mean reversion (Bollinger Bands), conviction (volume) and historical drift, weighted differently for each horizon. Uncertainty is modeled with a lognormal probability cone (geometric Brownian motion). This is statistical analysis, not a crystal ball.
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