KMLM — analysis and forecast
🧬 Faro multibagger DNA
Multibagger DNA is computed for companies, not ETFs or funds.
🔢 What the numbers say
The last 12 months, in plain words
- Over the last year KMLM is up 15.6%. Over about two years: +11.3%.
- Today it sits 1.2% below its 52-week high ($31.42) and +20.4% above the low ($25.78).
- The worst drop from a peak in those 12 months was 9.6%. Anyone who bought at the top had to sit through that.
- It rose on 55% of days. Best day: +2.2%. Worst day: -4.0%.
- Annual volatility around 14%: in a normal year a ±14% move would not be unusual for this stock (the S&P 500 usually runs 15–20%).
🗓️ Forecast by horizon
Directional bias · probability of rising · expected price and likely range (68%)
| Horizon | Bias | Prob. up | Expected price | 68% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 day | Bullish | 55% | $31.05 +0.0% | $30.78 – $31.32 |
| 3 days | Bullish | 55% | $31.06 +0.1% | $30.60 – $31.53 |
| 1 week | Bullish | 56% | $31.07 +0.1% | $30.48 – $31.68 |
| 15 days | Bullish | 56% | $31.11 +0.2% | $30.26 – $31.97 |
| 1 month | Bullish | 57% | $31.18 +0.4% | $29.96 – $32.44 |
| 3 months | Bullish | 60% | $31.46 +1.4% | $29.37 – $33.70 |
Recent momentum: +0.5% over 20 days · +6.2% over 60 days. The further out the horizon, the wider and more uncertain the forecast.
📈 Probability cone
📜 Government contracts
We have no notable federal contract on file for KMLM. You can look it up yourself at USASpending.gov or in the Government Sources hub.
📚 Go deeper: Faro Library reports
PDF reports built from official filings. Your first one is free, no email; then $1.99 each or all 30 for $25 — included in Navigator and Admiral.
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How much has KMLM gone up in the last year?
KraneShares Mount Lucas Managed Futures Index Strategy ETF (KMLM) is up 15.6% over the last 12 months and trades at $31.04, 1.2% below its 52-week high ($31.42). 52-week range: $25.78 – $31.42.
How volatile is KMLM stock?
Its annualized volatility is around 14% and its worst drop from a peak over the last year was 9.6%. For reference, the S&P 500 usually moves 15–20% a year.
Does KMLM have U.S. government contracts?
There is no notable federal contract in Faro's register. You can search USASpending.gov.
Is now a good time to buy KMLM?
Nobody can know that for sure and this page is not a buy recommendation. What the data shows today: bullish technical bias, RSI 46, price above its 50-day average and an estimated 57% probability of being higher in 1 month. Use it as a starting point for research, not as a signal.
🧠 How it is calculated
The verdict combines trend (20/50/200 moving averages), momentum (RSI, MACD), mean reversion (Bollinger Bands), conviction (volume) and historical drift, weighted differently for each horizon. Uncertainty is modeled with a lognormal probability cone (geometric Brownian motion). This is statistical analysis, not a crystal ball.
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