Directional bias · probability of rising · expected price and likely range (68%)
| Horizon | Bias | Prob. up | Expected price | 68% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 day | Neutral | 48% | $248.51 +0.0% | $243.85 – $253.26 |
| 3 days | Neutral | 48% | $248.51 +0.0% | $240.50 – $256.79 |
| 1 week | Neutral | 48% | $248.51 +0.0% | $238.22 – $259.25 |
| 15 days | Neutral | 47% | $248.51 +0.0% | $234.08 – $263.84 |
| 1 month | Bearish | 45% | $248.52 +0.0% | $227.88 – $271.03 |
| 3 months | Bearish | 43% | $248.54 +0.0% | $213.88 – $288.82 |
Recent momentum: +0.5% over 20 days · -17.1% over 60 days. The further out the horizon, the wider and more uncertain the forecast.
The public money behind this company — the "Follow the Contract" pattern.
L3Harris Interstate Electronics Corp., Yorba Linda, California, is being awarded a $46,850,128 cost-plus-incentive-fee and cost-plus-fixed-fee contract for services and support for flight test instrumentation systems for the Trident II Strategic Weapon System.
💡 Worth 0.10% of the company's market value. Stock since the announcement: +4.2%.
L3Harris Fuzing and Ordnance Systems Inc., Cincinnati, Ohio, is awarded a $52,319,903 firm-fixed-price modification to previously-awarded contract N00174-26-C-1001 for proximity fuzes to upgrade the Advanced Precision Kill Weapon System.
💡 Worth 0.11% of the company's market value. Firm money at signing: $4 M. Stock since the announcement: +4.5%.
L3Harris Cincinnati Electronics Corp., Mason, Ohio, has been awarded a maximum $25,241,883 firm‐fixed‐price, indefinite-delivery requirements contract for Avenger Forward-Looking Infrareds.
💡 Worth <0.1% of the company's market value. Stock since the announcement: +0.5%.
The verdict combines trend (20/50/200 moving averages), momentum (RSI, MACD), mean reversion (Bollinger Bands), conviction (volume) and historical drift, weighted differently for each horizon. Uncertainty is modeled with a lognormal probability cone (geometric Brownian motion). This is statistical analysis, not a crystal ball.
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