LTBR — analysis and forecast
🧬 Faro multibagger DNA
Does it look today like the big multibaggers (×10, ×100) did when they started? 7 traits measured with public data.
Strongest: Room to grow and Balance sheet. Most lacking: Business quality and Sales engine.
Worth $167 M. To grow ×10 it would have to reach $1.7 B.
Sales — last quarter (year over year) and -31% last fiscal year.
Gross margin 0%, operating margin 0%, return on equity -14%.
Free cash flow −$11 M a year = -6.5% of its value (burning cash).
Trades at —× sales with no growth to back it.
Net cash equal to 141% of its value.
No recent federal contracts on the radar · inside a Faro megatrend · insiders own 6.1%.
⏱️ Timing (not scored): near its 12-month low · below its 200-day average · trailing the S&P 500 by 88 points over 12 months.
Built on the traits of 365 stocks that went ×100 (Mayer, 1962–2014) and 464 that went ×10 (Yartseva, 2009–2024), plus the Faro thesis. It does not predict the price and is not a recommendation. How it works and the ranking →
🔢 What the numbers say
The last 12 months, in plain words
- Over the last year LTBR is down 78.5%. Over about two years: -48.9%.
- Today it sits 78.6% below its 52-week high ($20.16) and +8.3% above the low ($3.99).
- The worst drop from a peak in those 12 months was 80.2%. Anyone who bought at the top had to sit through that.
- It rose on 45% of days. Best day: +15.2%. Worst day: -15.0%.
- Annual volatility around 75%: in a normal year a ±75% move would not be unusual for this stock (the S&P 500 usually runs 15–20%).
🗓️ Forecast by horizon
Directional bias · probability of rising · expected price and likely range (68%)
| Horizon | Bias | Prob. up | Expected price | 68% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 day | Strongly bearish | 39% | $4.31 -0.1% | $4.11 – $4.52 |
| 3 days | Strongly bearish | 38% | $4.30 -0.4% | $3.96 – $4.67 |
| 1 week | Strongly bearish | 37% | $4.29 -0.7% | $3.86 – $4.77 |
| 15 days | Strongly bearish | 36% | $4.26 -1.3% | $3.67 – $4.95 |
| 1 month | Strongly bearish | 34% | $4.20 -2.8% | $3.38 – $5.22 |
| 3 months | Strongly bearish | 28% | $3.97 -8.1% | $2.72 – $5.79 |
Recent momentum: -19.3% over 20 days · -46.3% over 60 days. The further out the horizon, the wider and more uncertain the forecast.
📈 Probability cone
📜 Government contracts
We have no notable federal contract on file for LTBR. You can look it up yourself at USASpending.gov or in the Government Sources hub.
📚 Go deeper: Faro Library reports
PDF reports built from official filings. Your first one is free, no email; then $1.99 each or all 34 for $25 — included in Navigator and Admiral.
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Study: What the big winners had in commonMicron 13x, Carpenter 12x, NVIDIA 9x… We analyze the stocks that rose most in five years within the Faro universe: which…6 pp. · Free preview →
Practical guide: How to read an earnings report in 15 minutesEvery three months companies publish their numbers. The market reacts in seconds. A 7-step method, with real 2026 exampl…6 pp. · Free preview →❓ Frequently asked questions about LTBR
Could LTBR be the next NVIDIA?
Its Faro multibagger DNA is 39/100 (weak): it measures how much it looks today like the big multibaggers did when they started (size, sales growth, quality, cash, price versus growth, balance sheet and public contracts). To grow ×10 it would need to be worth about 10 times today's value. Not a prediction or a recommendation.
How much has LTBR fallen in the last year?
Lightbridge (LTBR) is down 78.5% over the last 12 months and trades at $4.32, 78.6% below its 52-week high ($20.16). 52-week range: $3.99 – $20.16.
How volatile is LTBR stock?
Its annualized volatility is around 75% and its worst drop from a peak over the last year was 80.2%. For reference, the S&P 500 usually moves 15–20% a year.
Does LTBR have U.S. government contracts?
There is no notable federal contract in Faro's register. You can search USASpending.gov.
Is now a good time to buy LTBR?
Nobody can know that for sure and this page is not a buy recommendation. What the data shows today: strongly bearish technical bias, RSI 40, price below its 50-day average and an estimated 34% probability of being higher in 1 month. Use it as a starting point for research, not as a signal.
🧠 How it is calculated
The verdict combines trend (20/50/200 moving averages), momentum (RSI, MACD), mean reversion (Bollinger Bands), conviction (volume) and historical drift, weighted differently for each horizon. Uncertainty is modeled with a lognormal probability cone (geometric Brownian motion). This is statistical analysis, not a crystal ball.
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