Directional bias · probability of rising · expected price and likely range (68%)
| Horizon | Bias | Prob. up | Expected price | 68% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 day | Neutral | 47% | $446.28 -0.0% | $439.71 – $452.95 |
| 3 days | Neutral | 47% | $446.17 -0.0% | $434.86 – $457.79 |
| 1 week | Neutral | 47% | $446.07 -0.1% | $431.52 – $461.12 |
| 15 days | Neutral | 47% | $445.81 -0.1% | $425.38 – $467.23 |
| 1 month | Neutral | 48% | $445.24 -0.2% | $415.98 – $476.57 |
| 3 months | Neutral | 48% | $443.07 -0.7% | $393.85 – $498.44 |
Recent momentum: -5.9% over 20 days · +8.0% over 60 days. The further out the horizon, the wider and more uncertain the forecast.
The public money behind this company — the "Follow the Contract" pattern.
Land mobile radio infrastructure services
💡 Worth <0.1% of the company's market value. Firm money at signing: $26 M. Stock since the announcement: -1.7%.
Task order for an enterprise radio system project in accordance with the dhs taccom ii mac.
💡 Worth 0.19% of the company's market value. Firm money at signing: $140 M. Stock since the announcement: -4.7%.
The verdict combines trend (20/50/200 moving averages), momentum (RSI, MACD), mean reversion (Bollinger Bands), conviction (volume) and historical drift, weighted differently for each horizon. Uncertainty is modeled with a lognormal probability cone (geometric Brownian motion). This is statistical analysis, not a crystal ball.
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