NXT — analysis and forecast
🧬 Faro multibagger DNA
Does it look today like the big multibaggers (×10, ×100) did when they started? 7 traits measured with public data.
Strongest: Balance sheet and Price vs. growth. Most lacking: Faro seal and Business quality.
Worth $14.4 B. To grow ×10 it would have to reach $144 B.
Sales +23% last quarter (year over year) and +18% last fiscal year.
Gross margin 22%, operating margin 19%, return on equity 26%.
Free cash flow $371 M a year = 2.6% of its value.
Trades at 3.8× sales: 0.18 per point of growth (lower is better).
Net cash equal to 7% of its value.
No recent federal contracts on the radar · outside the Faro megatrends · insiders own 0.6%.
⏱️ Timing (not scored): near its 12-month low · below its 200-day average · beating the S&P 500 by 1 points over 12 months.
Built on the traits of 365 stocks that went ×100 (Mayer, 1962–2014) and 464 that went ×10 (Yartseva, 2009–2024), plus the Faro thesis. It does not predict the price and is not a recommendation. How it works and the ranking →
🔢 What the numbers say
The last 12 months, in plain words
- Over the last year NXT is down 10.6%. Over about two years: +147.7%.
- Today it sits 39.5% below its 52-week high ($156.40) and +23.7% above the low ($76.48).
- The worst drop from a peak in those 12 months was 51.1%. Anyone who bought at the top had to sit through that.
- It rose on 50% of days. Best day: +14.9%. Worst day: -12.5%.
- Annual volatility around 66%: in a normal year a ±66% move would not be unusual for this stock (the S&P 500 usually runs 15–20%).
🗓️ Forecast by horizon
Directional bias · probability of rising · expected price and likely range (68%)
| Horizon | Bias | Prob. up | Expected price | 68% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 day | Bullish | 59% | $94.76 +0.2% | $90.92 – $98.76 |
| 3 days | Bullish | 59% | $95.11 +0.5% | $88.53 – $102.17 |
| 1 week | Bullish | 58% | $95.45 +0.9% | $87.02 – $104.70 |
| 15 days | Bullish | 57% | $96.32 +1.8% | $84.51 – $109.78 |
| 1 month | Bullish | 56% | $98.26 +3.9% | $81.29 – $118.76 |
| 3 months | Neutral | 57% | $106.02 +12.1% | $76.35 – $147.22 |
Recent momentum: +13.3% over 20 days · +2.7% over 60 days. The further out the horizon, the wider and more uncertain the forecast.
📈 Probability cone
📜 Government contracts
We have no notable federal contract on file for NXT. You can look it up yourself at USASpending.gov or in the Government Sources hub.
📚 Go deeper: Faro Library reports
PDF reports built from official filings. Your first one is free, no email; then $1.99 each or all 34 for $25 — included in Navigator and Admiral.
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Practical guide: How to read an earnings report in 15 minutesEvery three months companies publish their numbers. The market reacts in seconds. A 7-step method, with real 2026 exampl…6 pp. · Free preview →❓ Frequently asked questions about NXT
Could NXT be the next NVIDIA?
Its Faro multibagger DNA is 64/100 (promising): it measures how much it looks today like the big multibaggers did when they started (size, sales growth, quality, cash, price versus growth, balance sheet and public contracts). To grow ×10 it would need to be worth about 10 times today's value. Not a prediction or a recommendation.
How much has NXT fallen in the last year?
Nextpower (NXT) is down 10.6% over the last 12 months and trades at $94.59, 39.5% below its 52-week high ($156.40). 52-week range: $76.48 – $156.40.
How volatile is NXT stock?
Its annualized volatility is around 66% and its worst drop from a peak over the last year was 51.1%. For reference, the S&P 500 usually moves 15–20% a year.
Does NXT have U.S. government contracts?
There is no notable federal contract in Faro's register. You can search USASpending.gov.
Is now a good time to buy NXT?
Nobody can know that for sure and this page is not a buy recommendation. What the data shows today: bullish technical bias, RSI 63, price above its 50-day average and an estimated 56% probability of being higher in 1 month. Use it as a starting point for research, not as a signal.
🧠 How it is calculated
The verdict combines trend (20/50/200 moving averages), momentum (RSI, MACD), mean reversion (Bollinger Bands), conviction (volume) and historical drift, weighted differently for each horizon. Uncertainty is modeled with a lognormal probability cone (geometric Brownian motion). This is statistical analysis, not a crystal ball.
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