Directional bias · probability of rising · expected price and likely range (68%)
| Horizon | Bias | Prob. up | Expected price | 68% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 day | Strongly bearish | 39% | $28.00 +0.1% | $26.65 – $29.42 |
| 3 days | Strongly bearish | 39% | $28.07 +0.3% | $25.76 – $30.58 |
| 1 week | Strongly bearish | 38% | $28.13 +0.6% | $25.18 – $31.43 |
| 15 days | Strongly bearish | 37% | $28.29 +1.2% | $24.19 – $33.09 |
| 1 month | Strongly bearish | 37% | $28.65 +2.4% | $22.84 – $35.95 |
| 3 months | Strongly bearish | 39% | $30.07 +7.5% | $20.30 – $44.55 |
Recent momentum: -26.4% over 20 days · -36.4% over 60 days. The further out the horizon, the wider and more uncertain the forecast.
The public money behind this company — the "Follow the Contract" pattern.
Notice of intent to award for a microreactor at Eielson Air Force Base (Alaska).
💡 First commercial microreactor at an Air Force base: it validates Oklo's model.
The verdict combines trend (20/50/200 moving averages), momentum (RSI, MACD), mean reversion (Bollinger Bands), conviction (volume) and historical drift, weighted differently for each horizon. Uncertainty is modeled with a lognormal probability cone (geometric Brownian motion). This is statistical analysis, not a crystal ball.
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