OSCR — analysis and forecast
🔢 What the numbers say
The last 12 months, in plain words
- Over the last year OSCR is up 71.4%. Over about two years: +71.4%.
- Today it sits 9.7% below its 52-week high ($34.32) and +185.7% above the low ($10.85).
- The worst drop from a peak in those 12 months was 40.3%. Anyone who bought at the top had to sit through that.
- It rose on 50% of days. Best day: +22.3%. Worst day: -17.6%.
- Annual volatility around 54%: in a normal year a ±54% move would not be unusual for this stock (the S&P 500 usually runs 15–20%).
🗓️ Forecast by horizon
Directional bias · probability of rising · expected price and likely range (68%)
| Horizon | Bias | Prob. up | Expected price | 68% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 day | Neutral | 50% | $31.03 +0.1% | $29.99 – $32.11 |
| 3 days | Neutral | 50% | $31.10 +0.3% | $29.32 – $32.99 |
| 1 week | Neutral | 51% | $31.17 +0.5% | $28.88 – $33.64 |
| 15 days | Neutral | 52% | $31.34 +1.1% | $28.14 – $34.90 |
| 1 month | Neutral | 54% | $31.71 +2.3% | $27.13 – $37.07 |
| 3 months | Bullish | 59% | $33.18 +7.0% | $25.32 – $43.49 |
Recent momentum: -4.4% over 20 days · +11.1% over 60 days. The further out the horizon, the wider and more uncertain the forecast.
📈 Probability cone
📜 Government contracts
We have no notable federal contract on file for OSCR. You can look it up yourself at USASpending.gov or in the Government Sources hub.
📚 Go deeper: Faro Library reports
PDF reports built from official filings. Your first one is free, no email; then $1.99 each or all 33 for $25 — included in Navigator and Admiral.
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How much has OSCR gone up in the last year?
Oscar Health (OSCR) is up 71.4% over the last 12 months and trades at $31.00, 9.7% below its 52-week high ($34.32). 52-week range: $10.85 – $34.32.
How volatile is OSCR stock?
Its annualized volatility is around 54% and its worst drop from a peak over the last year was 40.3%. For reference, the S&P 500 usually moves 15–20% a year.
Does OSCR have U.S. government contracts?
There is no notable federal contract in Faro's register. You can search USASpending.gov.
Is now a good time to buy OSCR?
Nobody can know that for sure and this page is not a buy recommendation. What the data shows today: neutral technical bias, RSI 36, price below its 50-day average and an estimated 54% probability of being higher in 1 month. Use it as a starting point for research, not as a signal.
🧠 How it is calculated
The verdict combines trend (20/50/200 moving averages), momentum (RSI, MACD), mean reversion (Bollinger Bands), conviction (volume) and historical drift, weighted differently for each horizon. Uncertainty is modeled with a lognormal probability cone (geometric Brownian motion). This is statistical analysis, not a crystal ball.
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