OUST — analysis and forecast
🧬 Faro multibagger DNA
Does it look today like the big multibaggers (×10, ×100) did when they started? 7 traits measured with public data.
Strongest: Balance sheet and Room to grow. Most lacking: Cash it generates and Faro seal.
Worth $2.7 B. To grow ×10 it would have to reach $26.8 B.
Sales +50% last quarter (year over year) and +52% last fiscal year.
Gross margin 46%, operating margin -28%, return on equity -11%.
Free cash flow −$80 M a year = -3.0% of its value (burning cash).
Trades at 11.9× sales: 0.23 per point of growth (lower is better).
Net cash equal to 15% of its value.
No recent federal contracts on the radar · inside a Faro megatrend · insiders own 2.4%.
⏱️ Timing (not scored): mid-range over 12 months (43%) · above its 200-day average · beating the S&P 500 by 57 points over 12 months.
Built on the traits of 365 stocks that went ×100 (Mayer, 1962–2014) and 464 that went ×10 (Yartseva, 2009–2024), plus the Faro thesis. It does not predict the price and is not a recommendation. How it works and the ranking →
🔢 What the numbers say
The last 12 months, in plain words
- Over the last year OUST is up 47.8%. Over about two years: +275.4%.
- Today it sits 41.3% below its 52-week high ($62.52) and +120.5% above the low ($16.63).
- The worst drop from a peak in those 12 months was 55.2%. Anyone who bought at the top had to sit through that.
- It rose on 50% of days. Best day: +28.7%. Worst day: -17.0%.
- Annual volatility around 100%: in a normal year a ±100% move would not be unusual for this stock (the S&P 500 usually runs 15–20%).
🗓️ Forecast by horizon
Directional bias · probability of rising · expected price and likely range (68%)
| Horizon | Bias | Prob. up | Expected price | 68% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 day | Strongly bullish | 59% | $36.76 +0.2% | $34.51 – $39.16 |
| 3 days | Strongly bullish | 60% | $36.94 +0.7% | $33.11 – $41.21 |
| 1 week | Strongly bullish | 60% | $37.11 +1.2% | $32.23 – $42.74 |
| 15 days | Strongly bullish | 61% | $37.56 +2.4% | $30.76 – $45.86 |
| 1 month | Strongly bullish | 62% | $38.56 +5.1% | $28.86 – $51.50 |
| 3 months | Strongly bullish | 64% | $42.61 +16.2% | $25.81 – $70.35 |
Recent momentum: +17.1% over 20 days · -8.4% over 60 days. The further out the horizon, the wider and more uncertain the forecast.
📈 Probability cone
📜 Government contracts
We have no notable federal contract on file for OUST. You can look it up yourself at USASpending.gov or in the Government Sources hub.
📚 Go deeper: Faro Library reports
PDF reports built from official filings. Your first one is free, no email; then $1.99 each or all 34 for $25 — included in Navigator and Admiral.
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Study: What the big winners had in commonMicron 13x, Carpenter 12x, NVIDIA 9x… We analyze the stocks that rose most in five years within the Faro universe: which…6 pp. · Free preview →
Practical guide: How to read an earnings report in 15 minutesEvery three months companies publish their numbers. The market reacts in seconds. A 7-step method, with real 2026 exampl…6 pp. · Free preview →❓ Frequently asked questions about OUST
Could OUST be the next NVIDIA?
Its Faro multibagger DNA is 70/100 (promising): it measures how much it looks today like the big multibaggers did when they started (size, sales growth, quality, cash, price versus growth, balance sheet and public contracts). To grow ×10 it would need to be worth about 10 times today's value. Not a prediction or a recommendation.
How much has OUST gone up in the last year?
Ouster (OUST) is up 47.8% over the last 12 months and trades at $36.68, 41.3% below its 52-week high ($62.52). 52-week range: $16.63 – $62.52.
How volatile is OUST stock?
Its annualized volatility is around 100% and its worst drop from a peak over the last year was 55.2%. For reference, the S&P 500 usually moves 15–20% a year.
Does OUST have U.S. government contracts?
There is no notable federal contract in Faro's register. You can search USASpending.gov.
Is now a good time to buy OUST?
Nobody can know that for sure and this page is not a buy recommendation. What the data shows today: strongly bullish technical bias, RSI 63, price above its 50-day average and an estimated 62% probability of being higher in 1 month. Use it as a starting point for research, not as a signal.
🧠 How it is calculated
The verdict combines trend (20/50/200 moving averages), momentum (RSI, MACD), mean reversion (Bollinger Bands), conviction (volume) and historical drift, weighted differently for each horizon. Uncertainty is modeled with a lognormal probability cone (geometric Brownian motion). This is statistical analysis, not a crystal ball.
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