PDBC — analysis and forecast
🧬 Faro multibagger DNA
Multibagger DNA is computed for companies, not ETFs or funds.
🔢 What the numbers say
The last 12 months, in plain words
- Over the last year PDBC is up 51.9%. Over about two years: +48.4%.
- It is practically at its 52-week high ($20.34).
- The worst drop from a peak in those 12 months was 16.6%. Anyone who bought at the top had to sit through that.
- It rose on 58% of days. Best day: +3.7%. Worst day: -4.3%.
- Annual volatility around 20%: in a normal year a ±20% move would not be unusual for this stock (the S&P 500 usually runs 15–20%).
🗓️ Forecast by horizon
Directional bias · probability of rising · expected price and likely range (68%)
| Horizon | Bias | Prob. up | Expected price | 68% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 day | Bullish | 59% | $20.36 +0.1% | $20.10 – $20.61 |
| 3 days | Bullish | 60% | $20.39 +0.2% | $19.95 – $20.84 |
| 1 week | Strongly bullish | 62% | $20.42 +0.4% | $19.85 – $21.00 |
| 15 days | Strongly bullish | 64% | $20.50 +0.8% | $19.70 – $21.33 |
| 1 month | Strongly bullish | 67% | $20.68 +1.7% | $19.52 – $21.91 |
| 3 months | Strongly bullish | 73% | $21.38 +5.1% | $19.34 – $23.62 |
Recent momentum: +4.3% over 20 days · +16.2% over 60 days. The further out the horizon, the wider and more uncertain the forecast.
📈 Probability cone
📜 Government contracts
We have no notable federal contract on file for PDBC. You can look it up yourself at USASpending.gov or in the Government Sources hub.
📚 Go deeper: Faro Library reports
PDF reports built from official filings. Your first one is free, no email; then $1.99 each or all 30 for $25 — included in Navigator and Admiral.
The market's memory: 100 years of crashes and recoveriesSince 1927 the S&P 500 has fallen more than 20% about a dozen times. It always recovered, but sometimes it took 25 y…6 pp. · Free preview →
Study: What the big winners had in commonMicron 13x, Carpenter 12x, NVIDIA 9x… We analyze the stocks that rose most in five years within the Faro universe: which…6 pp. · Free preview →
Practical guide: How to read an earnings report in 15 minutesEvery three months companies publish their numbers. The market reacts in seconds. A 7-step method, with real 2026 exampl…6 pp. · Free preview →❓ Frequently asked questions about PDBC
How much has PDBC gone up in the last year?
Invesco Optimum Yield Diversified Commodity Strategy No K-1 ETF (PDBC) is up 51.9% over the last 12 months and trades at $20.34, practically at its 52-week high. 52-week range: $13.25 – $20.34.
How volatile is PDBC stock?
Its annualized volatility is around 20% and its worst drop from a peak over the last year was 16.6%. For reference, the S&P 500 usually moves 15–20% a year.
Does PDBC have U.S. government contracts?
There is no notable federal contract in Faro's register. You can search USASpending.gov.
Is now a good time to buy PDBC?
Nobody can know that for sure and this page is not a buy recommendation. What the data shows today: strongly bullish technical bias, RSI 81 (overbought zone), price above its 50-day average and an estimated 67% probability of being higher in 1 month. Use it as a starting point for research, not as a signal.
🧠 How it is calculated
The verdict combines trend (20/50/200 moving averages), momentum (RSI, MACD), mean reversion (Bollinger Bands), conviction (volume) and historical drift, weighted differently for each horizon. Uncertainty is modeled with a lognormal probability cone (geometric Brownian motion). This is statistical analysis, not a crystal ball.
🔦 Keep analyzing
Other stocks Faro watches