PKE — analysis and forecast
🧬 Faro multibagger DNA
Does it look today like the big multibaggers (×10, ×100) did when they started? 7 traits measured with public data.
Strongest: Room to grow and Balance sheet. Most lacking: Sales engine and Cash it generates.
Worth $543 M. To grow ×10 it would have to reach $5.4 B.
Sales +27% last quarter (year over year) and -3% last fiscal year · accelerating.
Gross margin 32%, operating margin 20%, return on equity 11%.
Free cash flow $8 M a year = 1.6% of its value.
Trades at 6.7× sales: 0.56 per point of growth (lower is better).
Net cash equal to 21% of its value.
No recent federal contracts on the radar · inside a Faro megatrend · insiders own 4.9%.
⏱️ Timing (not scored): mid-range over 12 months (30%) · below its 200-day average · beating the S&P 500 by 19 points over 12 months.
Built on the traits of 365 stocks that went ×100 (Mayer, 1962–2014) and 464 that went ×10 (Yartseva, 2009–2024), plus the Faro thesis. It does not predict the price and is not a recommendation. How it works and the ranking →
🔢 What the numbers say
The last 12 months, in plain words
- Over the last year PKE is up 25.4%. Over about two years: +65.7%.
- Today it sits 35.5% below its 52-week high ($38.23) and +32.8% above the low ($18.55).
- The worst drop from a peak in those 12 months was 40.8%. Anyone who bought at the top had to sit through that.
- It rose on 50% of days. Best day: +10.7%. Worst day: -12.5%.
- Annual volatility around 46%: in a normal year a ±46% move would not be unusual for this stock (the S&P 500 usually runs 15–20%).
🗓️ Forecast by horizon
Directional bias · probability of rising · expected price and likely range (68%)
| Horizon | Bias | Prob. up | Expected price | 68% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 day | Bearish | 43% | $24.66 +0.1% | $23.96 – $25.39 |
| 3 days | Bearish | 43% | $24.71 +0.3% | $23.50 – $25.99 |
| 1 week | Bearish | 43% | $24.76 +0.5% | $23.21 – $26.43 |
| 15 days | Bearish | 43% | $24.89 +1.0% | $22.70 – $27.29 |
| 1 month | Bearish | 44% | $25.17 +2.1% | $22.03 – $28.75 |
| 3 months | Bearish | 47% | $26.26 +6.6% | $20.85 – $33.07 |
Recent momentum: -6.2% over 20 days · -30.7% over 60 days. The further out the horizon, the wider and more uncertain the forecast.
📈 Probability cone
📜 Government contracts
We have no notable federal contract on file for PKE. You can look it up yourself at USASpending.gov or in the Government Sources hub.
📚 Go deeper: Faro Library reports
PDF reports built from official filings. Your first one is free, no email; then $1.99 each or all 34 for $25 — included in Navigator and Admiral.
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Study: What the big winners had in commonMicron 13x, Carpenter 12x, NVIDIA 9x… We analyze the stocks that rose most in five years within the Faro universe: which…6 pp. · Free preview →
Practical guide: How to read an earnings report in 15 minutesEvery three months companies publish their numbers. The market reacts in seconds. A 7-step method, with real 2026 exampl…6 pp. · Free preview →❓ Frequently asked questions about PKE
Could PKE be the next NVIDIA?
Its Faro multibagger DNA is 66/100 (promising): it measures how much it looks today like the big multibaggers did when they started (size, sales growth, quality, cash, price versus growth, balance sheet and public contracts). To grow ×10 it would need to be worth about 10 times today's value. Not a prediction or a recommendation.
How much has PKE gone up in the last year?
Park Aerospace (PKE) is up 25.4% over the last 12 months and trades at $24.64, 35.5% below its 52-week high ($38.23). 52-week range: $18.55 – $38.23.
How volatile is PKE stock?
Its annualized volatility is around 46% and its worst drop from a peak over the last year was 40.8%. For reference, the S&P 500 usually moves 15–20% a year.
Does PKE have U.S. government contracts?
There is no notable federal contract in Faro's register. You can search USASpending.gov.
Is now a good time to buy PKE?
Nobody can know that for sure and this page is not a buy recommendation. What the data shows today: bearish technical bias, RSI 44, price below its 50-day average and an estimated 44% probability of being higher in 1 month. Use it as a starting point for research, not as a signal.
🧠 How it is calculated
The verdict combines trend (20/50/200 moving averages), momentum (RSI, MACD), mean reversion (Bollinger Bands), conviction (volume) and historical drift, weighted differently for each horizon. Uncertainty is modeled with a lognormal probability cone (geometric Brownian motion). This is statistical analysis, not a crystal ball.
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