PS — analysis and forecast
🧬 Faro multibagger DNA
Does it look today like the big multibaggers (×10, ×100) did when they started? 7 traits measured with public data.
Strongest: Room to grow and Balance sheet. Most lacking: Price vs. growth and Business quality.
Worth $17.6 B. To grow ×10 it would have to reach $176 B.
Sales +2% last quarter (year over year) and — last fiscal year.
Gross margin 22%, operating margin -166%, return on equity 3%.
Free cash flow $154 M a year = 0.9% of its value.
Trades at 22.9× sales with no growth to back it.
Net debt equal to 1% of its value.
No recent federal contracts on the radar · outside the Faro megatrends · insiders own 40.6%.
⏱️ Timing (not scored): mid-range over 12 months (57%) · above its 200-day average · beating the S&P 500 by 71 points over 12 months.
Built on the traits of 365 stocks that went ×100 (Mayer, 1962–2014) and 464 that went ×10 (Yartseva, 2009–2024), plus the Faro thesis. It does not predict the price and is not a recommendation. How it works and the ranking →
🔢 What the numbers say
The last 12 months, in plain words
- Over the 123 sessions we have for PS it moved +82.0%.
- Today it sits 26.3% below its 52-week high ($59.75) and +82.0% above the low ($24.20).
- The worst drop from a peak in those 12 months was 43.1%. Anyone who bought at the top had to sit through that.
- It rose on 51% of days. Best day: +35.7%. Worst day: -12.1%.
- Annual volatility around 74%: in a normal year a ±74% move would not be unusual for this stock (the S&P 500 usually runs 15–20%).
🗓️ Forecast by horizon
Directional bias · probability of rising · expected price and likely range (68%)
| Horizon | Bias | Prob. up | Expected price | 68% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 day | Bearish | 45% | $44.16 +0.2% | $42.15 – $46.26 |
| 3 days | Bearish | 45% | $44.37 +0.7% | $40.93 – $48.09 |
| 1 week | Bearish | 46% | $44.58 +1.2% | $40.17 – $49.47 |
| 15 days | Bearish | 48% | $45.11 +2.4% | $38.93 – $52.27 |
| 1 month | Neutral | 52% | $46.31 +5.1% | $37.41 – $57.33 |
| 3 months | Bullish | 59% | $51.18 +16.2% | $35.36 – $74.07 |
Recent momentum: -21.6% over 20 days · +31.2% over 60 days. The further out the horizon, the wider and more uncertain the forecast.
📈 Probability cone
📜 Government contracts
We have no notable federal contract on file for PS. You can look it up yourself at USASpending.gov or in the Government Sources hub.
📚 Go deeper: Faro Library reports
PDF reports built from official filings. Your first one is free, no email; then $1.99 each or all 30 for $25 — included in Navigator and Admiral.
The market's memory: 100 years of crashes and recoveriesSince 1927 the S&P 500 has fallen more than 20% about a dozen times. It always recovered, but sometimes it took 25 y…6 pp. · Free preview →
Study: What the big winners had in commonMicron 13x, Carpenter 12x, NVIDIA 9x… We analyze the stocks that rose most in five years within the Faro universe: which…6 pp. · Free preview →
Practical guide: How to read an earnings report in 15 minutesEvery three months companies publish their numbers. The market reacts in seconds. A 7-step method, with real 2026 exampl…6 pp. · Free preview →❓ Frequently asked questions about PS
Could PS be the next NVIDIA?
Its Faro multibagger DNA is 38/100 (weak): it measures how much it looks today like the big multibaggers did when they started (size, sales growth, quality, cash, price versus growth, balance sheet and public contracts). To grow ×10 it would need to be worth about 10 times today's value. Not a prediction or a recommendation.
How much has PS gone up in the last year?
Pershing Square (PS) is up 82.0% over the period with data and trades at $44.05, 26.3% below its 52-week high ($59.75). 52-week range: $24.20 – $59.75.
How volatile is PS stock?
Its annualized volatility is around 74% and its worst drop from a peak over the last year was 43.1%. For reference, the S&P 500 usually moves 15–20% a year.
Does PS have U.S. government contracts?
There is no notable federal contract in Faro's register. You can search USASpending.gov.
Is now a good time to buy PS?
Nobody can know that for sure and this page is not a buy recommendation. What the data shows today: bearish technical bias, RSI 30, price below its 50-day average and an estimated 52% probability of being higher in 1 month. Use it as a starting point for research, not as a signal.
🧠 How it is calculated
The verdict combines trend (20/50/200 moving averages), momentum (RSI, MACD), mean reversion (Bollinger Bands), conviction (volume) and historical drift, weighted differently for each horizon. Uncertainty is modeled with a lognormal probability cone (geometric Brownian motion). This is statistical analysis, not a crystal ball.
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