Directional bias · probability of rising · expected price and likely range (68%)
| Horizon | Bias | Prob. up | Expected price | 68% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 day | Neutral | 46% | $44.52 -0.2% | $42.22 – $46.95 |
| 3 days | Neutral | 45% | $44.36 -0.5% | $40.47 – $48.63 |
| 1 week | Bearish | 44% | $44.21 -0.9% | $39.26 – $49.77 |
| 15 days | Bearish | 41% | $43.82 -1.8% | $37.05 – $51.82 |
| 1 month | Bearish | 38% | $42.97 -3.6% | $33.70 – $54.79 |
| 3 months | Bearish | 30% | $39.90 -10.5% | $26.19 – $60.77 |
Recent momentum: -5.0% over 20 days · -20.4% over 60 days. The further out the horizon, the wider and more uncertain the forecast.
The public money behind this company — the "Follow the Contract" pattern.
Parsons Government Services Inc., Centreville, Virginia, was awarded a $664,805,774 multi-year, indefinite-delivery/indefinite-quantity, time-and-materials contract for technical, logistics, and program management support.
💡 Worth 14.47% of the company's market value. Stock since the announcement: -6%.
The verdict combines trend (20/50/200 moving averages), momentum (RSI, MACD), mean reversion (Bollinger Bands), conviction (volume) and historical drift, weighted differently for each horizon. Uncertainty is modeled with a lognormal probability cone (geometric Brownian motion). This is statistical analysis, not a crystal ball.
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