RDDT — analysis and forecast
🔢 What the numbers say
The last 12 months, in plain words
- Over the last year RDDT is down 53.2%. Over about two years: -16.6%.
- Today it sits 64.9% below its 52-week high ($258.93) and +0.0% above the low ($90.97).
- The worst drop from a peak in those 12 months was 64.9%. Anyone who bought at the top had to sit through that.
- It rose on 46% of days. Best day: +13.9%. Worst day: -29.2%.
- Annual volatility around 93%: in a normal year a ±93% move would not be unusual for this stock (the S&P 500 usually runs 15–20%).
🗓️ Forecast by horizon
Directional bias · probability of rising · expected price and likely range (68%)
| Horizon | Bias | Prob. up | Expected price | 68% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 day | Strongly bearish | 36% | $90.94 -0.0% | $85.78 – $96.40 |
| 3 days | Strongly bearish | 36% | $90.87 -0.1% | $82.14 – $100.53 |
| 1 week | Strongly bearish | 34% | $90.81 -0.2% | $79.70 – $103.46 |
| 15 days | Strongly bearish | 33% | $90.64 -0.4% | $75.37 – $109.01 |
| 1 month | Strongly bearish | 31% | $90.28 -0.8% | $69.10 – $117.95 |
| 3 months | Strongly bearish | 28% | $88.91 -2.3% | $55.95 – $141.29 |
Recent momentum: -39.5% over 20 days · -43.7% over 60 days. The further out the horizon, the wider and more uncertain the forecast.
📈 Probability cone
📜 Government contracts
We have no notable federal contract on file for RDDT. You can look it up yourself at USASpending.gov or in the Government Sources hub.
📚 Go deeper: Faro Library reports
PDF reports built from official filings. Your first one is free, no email; then $1.99 each or all 33 for $25 — included in Navigator and Admiral.
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How much has RDDT fallen in the last year?
Reddit (RDDT) is down 53.2% over the last 12 months and trades at $90.97, 64.9% below its 52-week high ($258.93). 52-week range: $90.97 – $258.93.
How volatile is RDDT stock?
Its annualized volatility is around 93% and its worst drop from a peak over the last year was 64.9%. For reference, the S&P 500 usually moves 15–20% a year.
Does RDDT have U.S. government contracts?
There is no notable federal contract in Faro's register. You can search USASpending.gov.
Is now a good time to buy RDDT?
Nobody can know that for sure and this page is not a buy recommendation. What the data shows today: strongly bearish technical bias, RSI 13 (oversold zone), price below its 50-day average and an estimated 31% probability of being higher in 1 month. Use it as a starting point for research, not as a signal.
🧠 How it is calculated
The verdict combines trend (20/50/200 moving averages), momentum (RSI, MACD), mean reversion (Bollinger Bands), conviction (volume) and historical drift, weighted differently for each horizon. Uncertainty is modeled with a lognormal probability cone (geometric Brownian motion). This is statistical analysis, not a crystal ball.
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