RKT — analysis and forecast
🧬 Faro multibagger DNA
Does it look today like the big multibaggers (×10, ×100) did when they started? 7 traits measured with public data.
Strongest: Sales engine and Business quality. Most lacking: Balance sheet and Faro seal.
Worth $39.3 B. To grow ×10 it would have to reach $393 B.
Sales +94% last quarter (year over year) and +40% last fiscal year · accelerating.
Gross margin 100%, operating margin 28%, return on equity 8%.
Free cash flow $1.6 B a year = 4.2% of its value.
Trades at 3.3× sales: 0.05 per point of growth (lower is better).
Net debt equal to 70% of its value.
No recent federal contracts on the radar · outside the Faro megatrends · insiders own 0.6%.
⏱️ Timing (not scored): mid-range over 12 months (26%) · below its 200-day average · trailing the S&P 500 by 29 points over 12 months.
Built on the traits of 365 stocks that went ×100 (Mayer, 1962–2014) and 464 that went ×10 (Yartseva, 2009–2024), plus the Faro thesis. It does not predict the price and is not a recommendation. How it works and the ranking →
🔢 What the numbers say
The last 12 months, in plain words
- Over the last year RKT is down 22.4%. Over about two years: -10.9%.
- Today it sits 40.9% below its 52-week high ($23.44) and +31.5% above the low ($10.53).
- The worst drop from a peak in those 12 months was 55.1%. Anyone who bought at the top had to sit through that.
- It rose on 46% of days. Best day: +10.9%. Worst day: -13.7%.
- Annual volatility around 51%: in a normal year a ±51% move would not be unusual for this stock (the S&P 500 usually runs 15–20%).
🗓️ Forecast by horizon
Directional bias · probability of rising · expected price and likely range (68%)
| Horizon | Bias | Prob. up | Expected price | 68% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 day | Strongly bullish | 59% | $13.85 -0.0% | $13.41 – $14.30 |
| 3 days | Strongly bullish | 59% | $13.84 -0.1% | $13.09 – $14.64 |
| 1 week | Strongly bullish | 58% | $13.83 -0.1% | $12.87 – $14.87 |
| 15 days | Bullish | 56% | $13.82 -0.2% | $12.47 – $15.31 |
| 1 month | Bullish | 53% | $13.78 -0.5% | $11.88 – $15.99 |
| 3 months | Neutral | 48% | $13.65 -1.4% | $10.56 – $17.65 |
Recent momentum: +25.1% over 20 days · -5.3% over 60 days. The further out the horizon, the wider and more uncertain the forecast.
📈 Probability cone
📜 Government contracts
We have no notable federal contract on file for RKT. You can look it up yourself at USASpending.gov or in the Government Sources hub.
📚 Go deeper: Faro Library reports
PDF reports built from official filings. Your first one is free, no email; then $1.99 each or all 34 for $25 — included in Navigator and Admiral.
The market's memory: 100 years of crashes and recoveriesSince 1927 the S&P 500 has fallen more than 20% about a dozen times. It always recovered, but sometimes it took 25 y…6 pp. · Free preview →
Study: What the big winners had in commonMicron 13x, Carpenter 12x, NVIDIA 9x… We analyze the stocks that rose most in five years within the Faro universe: which…6 pp. · Free preview →
Practical guide: How to read an earnings report in 15 minutesEvery three months companies publish their numbers. The market reacts in seconds. A 7-step method, with real 2026 exampl…6 pp. · Free preview →❓ Frequently asked questions about RKT
Could RKT be the next NVIDIA?
Its Faro multibagger DNA is 71/100 (promising): it measures how much it looks today like the big multibaggers did when they started (size, sales growth, quality, cash, price versus growth, balance sheet and public contracts). To grow ×10 it would need to be worth about 10 times today's value. Not a prediction or a recommendation.
How much has RKT fallen in the last year?
Rocket Companies (RKT) is down 22.4% over the last 12 months and trades at $13.85, 40.9% below its 52-week high ($23.44). 52-week range: $10.53 – $23.44.
How volatile is RKT stock?
Its annualized volatility is around 51% and its worst drop from a peak over the last year was 55.1%. For reference, the S&P 500 usually moves 15–20% a year.
Does RKT have U.S. government contracts?
There is no notable federal contract in Faro's register. You can search USASpending.gov.
Is now a good time to buy RKT?
Nobody can know that for sure and this page is not a buy recommendation. What the data shows today: bullish technical bias, RSI 67, price above its 50-day average and an estimated 53% probability of being higher in 1 month. Use it as a starting point for research, not as a signal.
🧠 How it is calculated
The verdict combines trend (20/50/200 moving averages), momentum (RSI, MACD), mean reversion (Bollinger Bands), conviction (volume) and historical drift, weighted differently for each horizon. Uncertainty is modeled with a lognormal probability cone (geometric Brownian motion). This is statistical analysis, not a crystal ball.
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