SOYB — analysis and forecast
🧬 Faro multibagger DNA
Multibagger DNA is computed for companies, not ETFs or funds.
🔢 What the numbers say
The last 12 months, in plain words
- Over the last year SOYB is up 21.6%. Over about two years: +23.5%.
- Today it sits 4.8% below its 52-week high ($28.14) and +23.4% above the low ($21.71).
- The worst drop from a peak in those 12 months was 8.8%. Anyone who bought at the top had to sit through that.
- It rose on 50% of days. Best day: +3.3%. Worst day: -3.9%.
- Annual volatility around 15%: in a normal year a ±15% move would not be unusual for this stock (the S&P 500 usually runs 15–20%).
🗓️ Forecast by horizon
Directional bias · probability of rising · expected price and likely range (68%)
| Horizon | Bias | Prob. up | Expected price | 68% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 day | Neutral | 48% | $26.80 +0.0% | $26.55 – $27.06 |
| 3 days | Neutral | 49% | $26.82 +0.1% | $26.38 – $27.27 |
| 1 week | Neutral | 50% | $26.85 +0.2% | $26.28 – $27.42 |
| 15 days | Neutral | 51% | $26.90 +0.4% | $26.10 – $27.73 |
| 1 month | Neutral | 54% | $27.03 +0.9% | $25.87 – $28.23 |
| 3 months | Neutral | 59% | $27.51 +2.7% | $25.51 – $29.67 |
Recent momentum: -3.4% over 20 days · +6.4% over 60 days. The further out the horizon, the wider and more uncertain the forecast.
📈 Probability cone
📜 Government contracts
We have no notable federal contract on file for SOYB. You can look it up yourself at USASpending.gov or in the Government Sources hub.
📚 Go deeper: Faro Library reports
PDF reports built from official filings. Your first one is free, no email; then $1.99 each or all 30 for $25 — included in Navigator and Admiral.
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How much has SOYB gone up in the last year?
Teucrium Soybean Fund (SOYB) is up 21.6% over the last 12 months and trades at $26.79, 4.8% below its 52-week high ($28.14). 52-week range: $21.71 – $28.14.
How volatile is SOYB stock?
Its annualized volatility is around 15% and its worst drop from a peak over the last year was 8.8%. For reference, the S&P 500 usually moves 15–20% a year.
Does SOYB have U.S. government contracts?
There is no notable federal contract in Faro's register. You can search USASpending.gov.
Is now a good time to buy SOYB?
Nobody can know that for sure and this page is not a buy recommendation. What the data shows today: neutral technical bias, RSI 37, price below its 50-day average and an estimated 54% probability of being higher in 1 month. Use it as a starting point for research, not as a signal.
🧠 How it is calculated
The verdict combines trend (20/50/200 moving averages), momentum (RSI, MACD), mean reversion (Bollinger Bands), conviction (volume) and historical drift, weighted differently for each horizon. Uncertainty is modeled with a lognormal probability cone (geometric Brownian motion). This is statistical analysis, not a crystal ball.
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