SPCX — analysis and forecast
🧬 Faro multibagger DNA
Does it look today like the big multibaggers (×10, ×100) did when they started? 7 traits measured with public data.
Strongest: Sales engine and Balance sheet. Most lacking: Room to grow and Cash it generates.
Capped at 50 for size: it is so big that ×10 would require an off-the-charts valuation.
Worth $2.00 T. To grow ×10 it would have to reach $19.95 T.
Sales +161% last quarter (year over year) and — last fiscal year.
Gross margin 57%, operating margin 28%, return on equity —.
No free cash flow data.
Trades at 62.3× sales: 0.42 per point of growth (lower is better).
Net cash equal to 3% of its value.
No recent federal contracts on the radar · inside a Faro megatrend · insiders own 12.5%.
⏱️ Timing (not scored): mid-range over 12 months (35%) · above its 200-day average · trailing the S&P 500 by 20 points over 12 months.
Built on the traits of 365 stocks that went ×100 (Mayer, 1962–2014) and 464 that went ×10 (Yartseva, 2009–2024), plus the Faro thesis. It does not predict the price and is not a recommendation. How it works and the ranking →
🔢 What the numbers say
The last 12 months, in plain words
- Over the 93 sessions we have for SPCX it moved -8.7%.
- Today it sits 30.5% below its 52-week high ($211.39) and +35.7% above the low ($108.27).
- The worst drop from a peak in those 12 months was 48.8%. Anyone who bought at the top had to sit through that.
- It rose on 45% of days. Best day: +19.6%. Worst day: -16.4%.
- Annual volatility around 74%: in a normal year a ±74% move would not be unusual for this stock (the S&P 500 usually runs 15–20%).
🗓️ Forecast by horizon
Directional bias · probability of rising · expected price and likely range (68%)
| Horizon | Bias | Prob. up | Expected price | 68% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 day | Neutral | 50% | $146.76 -0.1% | $140.03 – $153.80 |
| 3 days | Neutral | 49% | $146.47 -0.3% | $135.04 – $158.86 |
| 1 week | Neutral | 48% | $146.18 -0.5% | $131.63 – $162.34 |
| 15 days | Neutral | 47% | $145.46 -1.0% | $125.42 – $168.72 |
| 1 month | Neutral | 46% | $143.90 -2.0% | $116.08 – $178.40 |
| 3 months | Neutral | 42% | $138.09 -6.0% | $95.17 – $200.35 |
Recent momentum: +1.0% over 20 days · +35.6% over 60 days. The further out the horizon, the wider and more uncertain the forecast.
📈 Probability cone
📜 Government contracts
We have no notable federal contract on file for SPCX. You can look it up yourself at USASpending.gov or in the Government Sources hub.
📚 Go deeper: Faro Library reports
PDF reports built from official filings. Your first one is free, no email; then $1.99 each or all 33 for $25 — included in Navigator and Admiral.
The market's memory: 100 years of crashes and recoveriesSince 1927 the S&P 500 has fallen more than 20% about a dozen times. It always recovered, but sometimes it took 25 y…6 pp. · Free preview →
Study: What the big winners had in commonMicron 13x, Carpenter 12x, NVIDIA 9x… We analyze the stocks that rose most in five years within the Faro universe: which…6 pp. · Free preview →
Practical guide: How to read an earnings report in 15 minutesEvery three months companies publish their numbers. The market reacts in seconds. A 7-step method, with real 2026 exampl…6 pp. · Free preview →❓ Frequently asked questions about SPCX
Could SPCX be the next NVIDIA?
Its Faro multibagger DNA is 50/100 (mixed): it measures how much it looks today like the big multibaggers did when they started (size, sales growth, quality, cash, price versus growth, balance sheet and public contracts). To grow ×10 it would need to be worth about 10 times today's value. Not a prediction or a recommendation.
How much has SPCX fallen in the last year?
Space Exploration Technologies (SPCX) is down 8.7% over the period with data and trades at $146.90, 30.5% below its 52-week high ($211.39). 52-week range: $108.27 – $211.39.
How volatile is SPCX stock?
Its annualized volatility is around 74% and its worst drop from a peak over the last year was 48.8%. For reference, the S&P 500 usually moves 15–20% a year.
Does SPCX have U.S. government contracts?
There is no notable federal contract in Faro's register. You can search USASpending.gov.
Is now a good time to buy SPCX?
Nobody can know that for sure and this page is not a buy recommendation. What the data shows today: neutral technical bias, RSI 30, price below its 50-day average and an estimated 46% probability of being higher in 1 month. Use it as a starting point for research, not as a signal.
🧠 How it is calculated
The verdict combines trend (20/50/200 moving averages), momentum (RSI, MACD), mean reversion (Bollinger Bands), conviction (volume) and historical drift, weighted differently for each horizon. Uncertainty is modeled with a lognormal probability cone (geometric Brownian motion). This is statistical analysis, not a crystal ball.
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