SPTX — analysis and forecast
🧬 Faro multibagger DNA
Does it look today like the big multibaggers (×10, ×100) did when they started? 7 traits measured with public data.
Strongest: Room to grow and Balance sheet. Most lacking: Business quality and Sales engine.
Worth $1.1 B. To grow ×10 it would have to reach $11.0 B.
Not enough sales data.
Gross margin 0%, operating margin 0%, return on equity —.
No free cash flow data.
Trades at —× sales with no growth to back it.
Net cash equal to 24% of its value.
No recent federal contracts on the radar · inside a Faro megatrend · insiders own 35.1%.
⏱️ Timing (not scored): mid-range over 12 months (43%) · above its 200-day average · trailing the S&P 500 by 7 points over 12 months.
Built on the traits of 365 stocks that went ×100 (Mayer, 1962–2014) and 464 that went ×10 (Yartseva, 2009–2024), plus the Faro thesis. It does not predict the price and is not a recommendation. How it works and the ranking →
🔢 What the numbers say
The last 12 months, in plain words
- Over the 121 sessions we have for SPTX it moved +3.9%.
- Today it sits 26.0% below its 52-week high ($27.84) and +35.1% above the low ($15.25).
- The worst drop from a peak in those 12 months was 42.2%. Anyone who bought at the top had to sit through that.
- It rose on 52% of days. Best day: +16.6%. Worst day: -14.3%.
- Annual volatility around 74%: in a normal year a ±74% move would not be unusual for this stock (the S&P 500 usually runs 15–20%).
🗓️ Forecast by horizon
Directional bias · probability of rising · expected price and likely range (68%)
| Horizon | Bias | Prob. up | Expected price | 68% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 day | Bullish | 53% | $20.62 +0.0% | $19.68 – $21.60 |
| 3 days | Bullish | 53% | $20.63 +0.1% | $19.03 – $22.36 |
| 1 week | Bullish | 53% | $20.64 +0.2% | $18.60 – $22.91 |
| 15 days | Bullish | 53% | $20.67 +0.3% | $17.84 – $23.96 |
| 1 month | Bullish | 53% | $20.75 +0.7% | $16.76 – $25.69 |
| 3 months | Bullish | 53% | $21.02 +2.0% | $14.52 – $30.44 |
Recent momentum: -4.2% over 20 days · +1.4% over 60 days. The further out the horizon, the wider and more uncertain the forecast.
📈 Probability cone
📜 Government contracts
We have no notable federal contract on file for SPTX. You can look it up yourself at USASpending.gov or in the Government Sources hub.
📚 Go deeper: Faro Library reports
PDF reports built from official filings. Your first one is free, no email; then $1.99 each or all 30 for $25 — included in Navigator and Admiral.
The market's memory: 100 years of crashes and recoveriesSince 1927 the S&P 500 has fallen more than 20% about a dozen times. It always recovered, but sometimes it took 25 y…6 pp. · Free preview →
Study: What the big winners had in commonMicron 13x, Carpenter 12x, NVIDIA 9x… We analyze the stocks that rose most in five years within the Faro universe: which…6 pp. · Free preview →
Practical guide: How to read an earnings report in 15 minutesEvery three months companies publish their numbers. The market reacts in seconds. A 7-step method, with real 2026 exampl…6 pp. · Free preview →❓ Frequently asked questions about SPTX
Could SPTX be the next NVIDIA?
Its Faro multibagger DNA is 53/100 (mixed): it measures how much it looks today like the big multibaggers did when they started (size, sales growth, quality, cash, price versus growth, balance sheet and public contracts). To grow ×10 it would need to be worth about 10 times today's value. Not a prediction or a recommendation.
How much has SPTX gone up in the last year?
Seaport Therapeutics (SPTX) is up 3.9% over the period with data and trades at $20.61, 26.0% below its 52-week high ($27.84). 52-week range: $15.25 – $27.84.
How volatile is SPTX stock?
Its annualized volatility is around 74% and its worst drop from a peak over the last year was 42.2%. For reference, the S&P 500 usually moves 15–20% a year.
Does SPTX have U.S. government contracts?
There is no notable federal contract in Faro's register. You can search USASpending.gov.
Is now a good time to buy SPTX?
Nobody can know that for sure and this page is not a buy recommendation. What the data shows today: bullish technical bias, RSI 62, price below its 50-day average and an estimated 53% probability of being higher in 1 month. Use it as a starting point for research, not as a signal.
🧠 How it is calculated
The verdict combines trend (20/50/200 moving averages), momentum (RSI, MACD), mean reversion (Bollinger Bands), conviction (volume) and historical drift, weighted differently for each horizon. Uncertainty is modeled with a lognormal probability cone (geometric Brownian motion). This is statistical analysis, not a crystal ball.
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