Directional bias · probability of rising · expected price and likely range (68%)
| Horizon | Bias | Prob. up | Expected price | 68% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 day | Strongly bearish | 38% | $22.49 +0.0% | $22.03 – $22.97 |
| 3 days | Strongly bearish | 38% | $22.50 +0.0% | $21.70 – $23.33 |
| 1 week | Strongly bearish | 37% | $22.50 +0.1% | $21.47 – $23.58 |
| 15 days | Strongly bearish | 37% | $22.52 +0.1% | $21.07 – $24.06 |
| 1 month | Strongly bearish | 36% | $22.54 +0.2% | $20.48 – $24.81 |
| 3 months | Strongly bearish | 37% | $22.65 +0.7% | $19.18 – $26.75 |
Recent momentum: -15.2% over 20 days · +3.1% over 60 days. The further out the horizon, the wider and more uncertain the forecast.
The public money behind this company — the "Follow the Contract" pattern.
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The verdict combines trend (20/50/200 moving averages), momentum (RSI, MACD), mean reversion (Bollinger Bands), conviction (volume) and historical drift, weighted differently for each horizon. Uncertainty is modeled with a lognormal probability cone (geometric Brownian motion). This is statistical analysis, not a crystal ball.
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