Directional bias · probability of rising · expected price and likely range (68%)
| Horizon | Bias | Prob. up | Expected price | 68% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 day | Bearish | 43% | $75.90 -0.0% | $74.63 – $77.20 |
| 3 days | Bearish | 42% | $75.85 -0.1% | $73.66 – $78.11 |
| 1 week | Bearish | 42% | $75.80 -0.2% | $72.98 – $78.73 |
| 15 days | Bearish | 40% | $75.67 -0.3% | $71.72 – $79.84 |
| 1 month | Bearish | 39% | $75.38 -0.7% | $69.74 – $81.47 |
| 3 months | Strongly bearish | 35% | $74.29 -2.2% | $64.93 – $84.99 |
Recent momentum: -4.7% over 20 days · -18.5% over 60 days. The further out the horizon, the wider and more uncertain the forecast.
The public money behind this company — the "Follow the Contract" pattern.
Textron Systems Corp., New Orleans, Louisiana, is awarded a $231,488,876 fixed-price incentive (firm-target) contract modification to previously awarded contract for the construction of two Ship to Shore Connector Landing Craft Air Cushion -class crafts.
💡 Worth 1.77% of the company's market value. Firm money at signing: $231 M. Stock since the announcement: -13.4%.
The verdict combines trend (20/50/200 moving averages), momentum (RSI, MACD), mean reversion (Bollinger Bands), conviction (volume) and historical drift, weighted differently for each horizon. Uncertainty is modeled with a lognormal probability cone (geometric Brownian motion). This is statistical analysis, not a crystal ball.
Other stocks Faro watches