VRT — analysis and forecast
🧬 Faro multibagger DNA
Does it look today like the big multibaggers (×10, ×100) did when they started? 7 traits measured with public data.
Strongest: Price vs. growth and Sales engine. Most lacking: Room to grow and Faro seal.
Worth $80.3 B. To grow ×10 it would have to reach $803 B.
Sales +61% last quarter (year over year) and +28% last fiscal year · accelerating.
Gross margin 38%, operating margin 21%, return on equity 47%.
Free cash flow $3.0 B a year = 3.7% of its value.
Trades at 6.1× sales: 0.14 per point of growth (lower is better).
Net cash equal to 0% of its value.
No recent federal contracts on the radar · inside a Faro megatrend · insiders own 0.2%.
⏱️ Timing (not scored): mid-range over 12 months (26%) · below its 200-day average · beating the S&P 500 by 13 points over 12 months.
Built on the traits of 365 stocks that went ×100 (Mayer, 1962–2014) and 464 that went ×10 (Yartseva, 2009–2024), plus the Faro thesis. It does not predict the price and is not a recommendation. How it works and the ranking →
🔢 What the numbers say
The last 12 months, in plain words
- Over the last year VRT is up 16.5%. Over about two years: +68.5%.
- Today it sits 44.5% below its 52-week high ($376.23) and +39.3% above the low ($149.83).
- The worst drop from a peak in those 12 months was 53.0%. Anyone who bought at the top had to sit through that.
- It rose on 52% of days. Best day: +24.5%. Worst day: -17.3%.
- Annual volatility around 77%: in a normal year a ±77% move would not be unusual for this stock (the S&P 500 usually runs 15–20%).
🗓️ Forecast by horizon
Directional bias · probability of rising · expected price and likely range (68%)
| Horizon | Bias | Prob. up | Expected price | 68% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 day | Bearish | 45% | $208.87 +0.1% | $198.95 – $219.29 |
| 3 days | Bearish | 45% | $209.31 +0.3% | $192.39 – $227.71 |
| 1 week | Bearish | 45% | $209.74 +0.5% | $188.12 – $233.85 |
| 15 days | Bearish | 44% | $210.84 +1.0% | $180.77 – $245.91 |
| 1 month | Bearish | 43% | $213.27 +2.2% | $170.64 – $266.55 |
| 3 months | Bearish | 44% | $222.81 +6.8% | $151.42 – $327.85 |
Recent momentum: -2.8% over 20 days · -20.1% over 60 days. The further out the horizon, the wider and more uncertain the forecast.
📈 Probability cone
📜 Government contracts
We have no notable federal contract on file for VRT. You can look it up yourself at USASpending.gov or in the Government Sources hub.
📚 Go deeper: Faro Library reports
PDF reports built from official filings. Your first one is free, no email; then $1.99 each or all 34 for $25 — included in Navigator and Admiral.
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Could VRT be the next NVIDIA?
Its Faro multibagger DNA is 71/100 (promising): it measures how much it looks today like the big multibaggers did when they started (size, sales growth, quality, cash, price versus growth, balance sheet and public contracts). To grow ×10 it would need to be worth about 10 times today's value. Not a prediction or a recommendation.
How much has VRT gone up in the last year?
Vertiv Co (VRT) is up 16.5% over the last 12 months and trades at $208.66, 44.5% below its 52-week high ($376.23). 52-week range: $149.83 – $376.23.
How volatile is VRT stock?
Its annualized volatility is around 77% and its worst drop from a peak over the last year was 53.0%. For reference, the S&P 500 usually moves 15–20% a year.
Does VRT have U.S. government contracts?
There is no notable federal contract in Faro's register. You can search USASpending.gov.
Is now a good time to buy VRT?
Nobody can know that for sure and this page is not a buy recommendation. What the data shows today: bearish technical bias, RSI 54, price below its 50-day average and an estimated 43% probability of being higher in 1 month. Use it as a starting point for research, not as a signal.
🧠 How it is calculated
The verdict combines trend (20/50/200 moving averages), momentum (RSI, MACD), mean reversion (Bollinger Bands), conviction (volume) and historical drift, weighted differently for each horizon. Uncertainty is modeled with a lognormal probability cone (geometric Brownian motion). This is statistical analysis, not a crystal ball.
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