WEAT — analysis and forecast
🧬 Faro multibagger DNA
Multibagger DNA is computed for companies, not ETFs or funds.
🔢 What the numbers say
The last 12 months, in plain words
- Over the last year WEAT is up 13.0%. Over about two years: -12.4%.
- Today it sits 18.5% below its 52-week high ($28.00) and +14.8% above the low ($19.88).
- The worst drop from a peak in those 12 months was 18.5%. Anyone who bought at the top had to sit through that.
- It rose on 47% of days. Best day: +6.3%. Worst day: -3.3%.
- Annual volatility around 26%: in a normal year a ±26% move would not be unusual for this stock (the S&P 500 usually runs 15–20%).
🗓️ Forecast by horizon
Directional bias · probability of rising · expected price and likely range (68%)
| Horizon | Bias | Prob. up | Expected price | 68% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 day | Strongly bearish | 40% | $22.82 -0.0% | $22.46 – $23.19 |
| 3 days | Strongly bearish | 39% | $22.81 -0.1% | $22.18 – $23.46 |
| 1 week | Strongly bearish | 39% | $22.80 -0.1% | $21.99 – $23.64 |
| 15 days | Bearish | 39% | $22.77 -0.3% | $21.64 – $23.96 |
| 1 month | Bearish | 40% | $22.70 -0.6% | $21.09 – $24.44 |
| 3 months | Bearish | 39% | $22.45 -1.6% | $19.76 – $25.51 |
Recent momentum: -10.5% over 20 days · -7.3% over 60 days. The further out the horizon, the wider and more uncertain the forecast.
📈 Probability cone
📜 Government contracts
We have no notable federal contract on file for WEAT. You can look it up yourself at USASpending.gov or in the Government Sources hub.
📚 Go deeper: Faro Library reports
PDF reports built from official filings. Your first one is free, no email; then $1.99 each or all 30 for $25 — included in Navigator and Admiral.
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How much has WEAT gone up in the last year?
Teucrium Wheat Fund (WEAT) is up 13.0% over the last 12 months and trades at $22.83, 18.5% below its 52-week high ($28.00). 52-week range: $19.88 – $28.00.
How volatile is WEAT stock?
Its annualized volatility is around 26% and its worst drop from a peak over the last year was 18.5%. For reference, the S&P 500 usually moves 15–20% a year.
Does WEAT have U.S. government contracts?
There is no notable federal contract in Faro's register. You can search USASpending.gov.
Is now a good time to buy WEAT?
Nobody can know that for sure and this page is not a buy recommendation. What the data shows today: strongly bearish technical bias, RSI 17 (oversold zone), price below its 50-day average and an estimated 40% probability of being higher in 1 month. Use it as a starting point for research, not as a signal.
🧠 How it is calculated
The verdict combines trend (20/50/200 moving averages), momentum (RSI, MACD), mean reversion (Bollinger Bands), conviction (volume) and historical drift, weighted differently for each horizon. Uncertainty is modeled with a lognormal probability cone (geometric Brownian motion). This is statistical analysis, not a crystal ball.
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