Directional bias · probability of rising · expected price and likely range (68%)
| Horizon | Bias | Prob. up | Expected price | 68% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 day | Bearish | 48% | $333.03 +0.1% | $325.62 – $340.60 |
| 3 days | Bearish | 49% | $333.96 +0.4% | $321.19 – $347.23 |
| 1 week | Bearish | 49% | $334.90 +0.7% | $318.46 – $352.18 |
| 15 days | Bearish | 50% | $337.25 +1.4% | $314.09 – $362.12 |
| 1 month | Bearish | 52% | $342.48 +3.0% | $308.93 – $379.68 |
| 3 months | Neutral | 57% | $363.22 +9.2% | $303.81 – $434.24 |
Recent momentum: +2.4% over 20 days · -15.4% over 60 days. The further out the horizon, the wider and more uncertain the forecast.
The public money behind this company — the "Follow the Contract" pattern.
Woodward HRT Inc., Valencia, California, is being awarded $41,515,920 for a firm-fixed-price contract for the repair of 545 hydraulic power drive units supporting Navy/Marine/Air Force V-22 Osprey sustainment.
💡 Worth 0.22% of the company's market value. Stock since the announcement: +0.5%.
The verdict combines trend (20/50/200 moving averages), momentum (RSI, MACD), mean reversion (Bollinger Bands), conviction (volume) and historical drift, weighted differently for each horizon. Uncertainty is modeled with a lognormal probability cone (geometric Brownian motion). This is statistical analysis, not a crystal ball.
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